The @khamenei_ir account maintains a pattern of infrequent posting during Iran's ongoing leadership transition following the February 2026 events, driving trader consensus toward fewer than five posts in the May 15-22 period. This interval has featured alternating short bursts on regional security topics and extended quiet stretches without new announcements. Recent activity in early May on issues like the Persian Gulf established a baseline but did not sustain high volume. Absent immediate escalations in diplomatic negotiations or military postures, the account's operators appear inclined toward restraint, aligning with historical precedents of measured communication from Iranian leadership institutions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKhamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?
<5 50%
5-9 8%
55-59 7.2%
10-14 1.1%
NOWE
NOWE
May 22, 2026
<5
50%
5-9
26%
10-14
22%
15-19
22%
20-24
15%
25-29
11%
30-34
15%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
5%
55-59
7%
60+
<1%
<5 50%
5-9 8%
55-59 7.2%
10-14 1.1%
NOWE
NOWE
May 22, 2026
<5
$297 Wol.
50%
5-9
$81 Wol.
26%
10-14
$90 Wol.
22%
15-19
$63 Wol.
22%
20-24
$59 Wol.
15%
25-29
$59 Wol.
11%
30-34
$120 Wol.
15%
35-39
$88 Wol.
1%
40-44
$190 Wol.
1%
45-49
$120 Wol.
1%
50-54
$197 Wol.
5%
55-59
$179 Wol.
7%
60+
$338 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account maintains a pattern of infrequent posting during Iran's ongoing leadership transition following the February 2026 events, driving trader consensus toward fewer than five posts in the May 15-22 period. This interval has featured alternating short bursts on regional security topics and extended quiet stretches without new announcements. Recent activity in early May on issues like the Persian Gulf established a baseline but did not sustain high volume. Absent immediate escalations in diplomatic negotiations or military postures, the account's operators appear inclined toward restraint, aligning with historical precedents of measured communication from Iranian leadership institutions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,879Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The @khamenei_ir account maintains a pattern of infrequent posting during Iran's ongoing leadership transition following the February 2026 events, driving trader consensus toward fewer than five posts in the May 15-22 period. This interval has featured alternating short bursts on regional security topics and extended quiet stretches without new announcements. Recent activity in early May on issues like the Persian Gulf established a baseline but did not sustain high volume. Absent immediate escalations in diplomatic negotiations or military postures, the account's operators appear inclined toward restraint, aligning with historical precedents of measured communication from Iranian leadership institutions.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$1,879Data zakończenia
May 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The @khamenei_ir account maintains a pattern of infrequent posting during Iran's ongoing leadership transition following the February 2026 events, driving trader consensus toward fewer than five posts in the May 15-22 period. This interval has featured alternating short bursts on regional security topics and extended quiet stretches without new announcements. Recent activity in early May on issues like the Persian Gulf established a baseline but did not sustain high volume. Absent immediate escalations in diplomatic negotiations or military postures, the account's operators appear inclined toward restraint, aligning with historical precedents of measured communication from Iranian leadership institutions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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