Skip to main content
icon for Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Finanse·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Finanse·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 62%

Morgan Stanley 40%

JPMorgan <1%

Bank of America <1%

Polymarket

$45,438 Wol.

Goldman Sachs 62%

Morgan Stanley 40%

JPMorgan <1%

Bank of America <1%

Polymarket

$45,438 Wol.

Morgan Stanley

$10,982 Wol.

40%

Goldman Sachs

$7,190 Wol.

62%

JPMorgan

$6,097 Wol.

1%

Bank of America

$4,060 Wol.

1%

Citigroup

$4,355 Wol.

<1%

Barclays

$2,586 Wol.

<1%

UBS

$3,240 Wol.

<1%

Deutsche Bank

$4,228 Wol.

<1%

Wells Fargo

$2,698 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a 61.5% implied probability of securing the lead left bookrunner role for Anthropic’s IPO, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 39.5%, based on trader positioning in the prediction market. Both banks were selected as top underwriters following Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, with the contest centered on which firm earns the primary allocation on the prospectus. Goldman’s recent mandate as lead left on the SpaceX offering and its dominant share of large technology IPOs provide a modest edge in current sentiment. Morgan Stanley remains competitive due to its established relationships with AI firms and parallel preparation for a potential OpenAI debut. Minor probabilities for JPMorgan and others reflect their secondary involvement but limited prospects for the top slot. The outcome hinges on final negotiations ahead of an expected fall 2026 listing window.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$45,438
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a 61.5% implied probability of securing the lead left bookrunner role for Anthropic’s IPO, ahead of Morgan Stanley at 39.5%, based on trader positioning in the prediction market. Both banks were selected as top underwriters following Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing in early June 2026, with the contest centered on which firm earns the primary allocation on the prospectus. Goldman’s recent mandate as lead left on the SpaceX offering and its dominant share of large technology IPOs provide a modest edge in current sentiment. Morgan Stanley remains competitive due to its established relationships with AI firms and parallel preparation for a potential OpenAI debut. Minor probabilities for JPMorgan and others reflect their secondary involvement but limited prospects for the top slot. The outcome hinges on final negotiations ahead of an expected fall 2026 listing window.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$45,438
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Powiązane

icon for Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

79%
icon for Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

96%
icon for Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

20%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 9 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Goldman Sachs" z 62%, za nim "Morgan Stanley" z 40%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 62¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 62% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" wygenerował $45.4K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jun 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?", przeglądaj 9 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" jest "Goldman Sachs" z 62%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 62% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Morgan Stanley" z 40%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.