Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Beijing's minimum temperature on September 8 will likely fall in the 14–16°C range, cooler than the 17.8°C historical average low, as a weak early-season cold air mass brings northerly winds and widespread rain. Precipitation and cloud cover are expected to suppress daytime heating while enhancing overnight radiational cooling, with consensus guidance showing highs near 24–25°C and lows around 15°C under sustained northerly flow. Model agreement on this cooler pattern, combined with recent observed temperature drops in northern China, underpins trader emphasis on the 12°C-or-below outcome and mid-teen bins, while warmer scenarios above 20°C remain lower-probability outliers absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
18°C 47%
12°C or below 44.5%
19°C 30%
22°C or higher 29.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
45%
13°C
26%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
25%
18°C
47%
19°C
30%
20°C
7%
21°C
23%
22°C or higher
30%
18°C 47%
12°C or below 44.5%
19°C 30%
22°C or higher 29.6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Wol.
45%
13°C
$0 Wol.
26%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$0 Wol.
47%
19°C
$0 Wol.
30%
20°C
$110 Wol.
7%
21°C
$0 Wol.
23%
22°C or higher
$0 Wol.
30%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Beijing's minimum temperature on September 8 will likely fall in the 14–16°C range, cooler than the 17.8°C historical average low, as a weak early-season cold air mass brings northerly winds and widespread rain. Precipitation and cloud cover are expected to suppress daytime heating while enhancing overnight radiational cooling, with consensus guidance showing highs near 24–25°C and lows around 15°C under sustained northerly flow. Model agreement on this cooler pattern, combined with recent observed temperature drops in northern China, underpins trader emphasis on the 12°C-or-below outcome and mid-teen bins, while warmer scenarios above 20°C remain lower-probability outliers absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$110Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Beijing's minimum temperature on September 8 will likely fall in the 14–16°C range, cooler than the 17.8°C historical average low, as a weak early-season cold air mass brings northerly winds and widespread rain. Precipitation and cloud cover are expected to suppress daytime heating while enhancing overnight radiational cooling, with consensus guidance showing highs near 24–25°C and lows around 15°C under sustained northerly flow. Model agreement on this cooler pattern, combined with recent observed temperature drops in northern China, underpins trader emphasis on the 12°C-or-below outcome and mid-teen bins, while warmer scenarios above 20°C remain lower-probability outliers absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$110Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Beijing's minimum temperature on September 8 will likely fall in the 14–16°C range, cooler than the 17.8°C historical average low, as a weak early-season cold air mass brings northerly winds and widespread rain. Precipitation and cloud cover are expected to suppress daytime heating while enhancing overnight radiational cooling, with consensus guidance showing highs near 24–25°C and lows around 15°C under sustained northerly flow. Model agreement on this cooler pattern, combined with recent observed temperature drops in northern China, underpins trader emphasis on the 12°C-or-below outcome and mid-teen bins, while warmer scenarios above 20°C remain lower-probability outliers absent significant forecast shifts. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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