Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate a low of 22–24°C for September 4 under continued influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which has sustained clear to partly cloudy skies and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid light winds and moderate humidity. This setup follows several days of highs near 33–35°C that have kept overnight minima elevated relative to seasonal norms. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas on the evening of the 3rd into the 4th introduce minor uncertainty in cloud cover and localized cooling, while urban heat effects in central Chengdu may buffer the lowest readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C because successive model runs show only small variations in these variables ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on September 4?
19°C or below 94%
20°C 94%
24°C 94%
25°C 93%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
94%
20°C
94%
21°C
44%
22°C
51%
23°C
92%
24°C
94%
25°C
93%
26°C
93%
27°C
93%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
93%
19°C or below 94%
20°C 94%
24°C 94%
25°C 93%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Wol.
94%
20°C
$0 Wol.
94%
21°C
$0 Wol.
44%
22°C
$0 Wol.
51%
23°C
$0 Wol.
92%
24°C
$0 Wol.
94%
25°C
$0 Wol.
93%
26°C
$0 Wol.
93%
27°C
$0 Wol.
93%
28°C
$0 Wol.
7%
29°C or higher
$0 Wol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate a low of 22–24°C for September 4 under continued influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which has sustained clear to partly cloudy skies and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid light winds and moderate humidity. This setup follows several days of highs near 33–35°C that have kept overnight minima elevated relative to seasonal norms. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas on the evening of the 3rd into the 4th introduce minor uncertainty in cloud cover and localized cooling, while urban heat effects in central Chengdu may buffer the lowest readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C because successive model runs show only small variations in these variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate a low of 22–24°C for September 4 under continued influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which has sustained clear to partly cloudy skies and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid light winds and moderate humidity. This setup follows several days of highs near 33–35°C that have kept overnight minima elevated relative to seasonal norms. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas on the evening of the 3rd into the 4th introduce minor uncertainty in cloud cover and localized cooling, while urban heat effects in central Chengdu may buffer the lowest readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C because successive model runs show only small variations in these variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and multiple models indicate a low of 22–24°C for September 4 under continued influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which has sustained clear to partly cloudy skies and limited nocturnal radiative cooling amid light winds and moderate humidity. This setup follows several days of highs near 33–35°C that have kept overnight minima elevated relative to seasonal norms. Scattered showers possible in western mountainous areas on the evening of the 3rd into the 4th introduce minor uncertainty in cloud cover and localized cooling, while urban heat effects in central Chengdu may buffer the lowest readings. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 22–24°C because successive model runs show only small variations in these variables ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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