Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a notable cooling on September 10 driven by increased cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and a shift in steering patterns that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models project overnight lows of 20–22°C, with minimum temperatures near 20°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, aligning with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. This represents a sharp drop from the prior day’s 29–34°C range and falls slightly below September’s climatological average low near 22°C. Trader consensus around 20–22°C reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below or 23°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized variations within the urban area. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
29°C or higher 53%
21°C 48%
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
19°C or below
29%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C
19%
25°C
24%
26°C
34%
27°C
37%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
53%
29°C or higher 53%
21°C 48%
27°C 37%
26°C 34%
19°C or below
29%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
22%
23°C
12%
24°C
19%
25°C
24%
26°C
34%
27°C
37%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
53%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chongqing indicate a notable cooling on September 10 driven by increased cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and a shift in steering patterns that moderate overnight radiative cooling. Multiple models project overnight lows of 20–22°C, with minimum temperatures near 20°C under mostly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, aligning with the market’s leading 21°C outcome at 44.5% implied probability. This represents a sharp drop from the prior day’s 29–34°C range and falls slightly below September’s climatological average low near 22°C. Trader consensus around 20–22°C reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while lower probabilities for 19°C or below or 23°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact minimum timing and any localized variations within the urban area. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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