Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates Warsaw's September 11 high will likely reach 18–19°C under building high pressure, light southwest winds, and persistent low cloud cover that limits solar heating after recent frontal passage. Daytime maxima have cooled from the upper 20s earlier in the week, with current guidance showing afternoon readings clustered near 18°C amid 100% cloud cover and minimal mixing. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any late-day clearing, keeping 18°C and 19°C probabilities nearly even while lower outcomes remain possible if thicker stratus persists. Updated short-range model cycles over the next 48 hours will further constrain the precise peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?
18°C 39%
19°C 37%
17°C 23%
16°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
23%
18°C
39%
19°C
37%
20°C
9%
21°C
9%
22°C
6%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
4%
18°C 39%
19°C 37%
17°C 23%
16°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
15°C
$0 Wol.
4%
16°C
$0 Wol.
9%
17°C
$0 Wol.
23%
18°C
$35 Wol.
39%
19°C
$63 Wol.
37%
20°C
$28 Wol.
9%
21°C
$11 Wol.
9%
22°C
$0 Wol.
6%
23°C
$0 Wol.
4%
24°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates Warsaw's September 11 high will likely reach 18–19°C under building high pressure, light southwest winds, and persistent low cloud cover that limits solar heating after recent frontal passage. Daytime maxima have cooled from the upper 20s earlier in the week, with current guidance showing afternoon readings clustered near 18°C amid 100% cloud cover and minimal mixing. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any late-day clearing, keeping 18°C and 19°C probabilities nearly even while lower outcomes remain possible if thicker stratus persists. Updated short-range model cycles over the next 48 hours will further constrain the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$137Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates Warsaw's September 11 high will likely reach 18–19°C under building high pressure, light southwest winds, and persistent low cloud cover that limits solar heating after recent frontal passage. Daytime maxima have cooled from the upper 20s earlier in the week, with current guidance showing afternoon readings clustered near 18°C amid 100% cloud cover and minimal mixing. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any late-day clearing, keeping 18°C and 19°C probabilities nearly even while lower outcomes remain possible if thicker stratus persists. Updated short-range model cycles over the next 48 hours will further constrain the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$137Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates Warsaw's September 11 high will likely reach 18–19°C under building high pressure, light southwest winds, and persistent low cloud cover that limits solar heating after recent frontal passage. Daytime maxima have cooled from the upper 20s earlier in the week, with current guidance showing afternoon readings clustered near 18°C amid 100% cloud cover and minimal mixing. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any late-day clearing, keeping 18°C and 19°C probabilities nearly even while lower outcomes remain possible if thicker stratus persists. Updated short-range model cycles over the next 48 hours will further constrain the precise peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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