Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 6, with overnight lows holding near 26–27°C amid light winds, high humidity above 90 percent, and persistent cloud cover from a broad band of moisture. This aligns with subtropical September climatology where radiative cooling is limited by frequent showers and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing sharper drops. Numerical models show consensus on these values with minimal overnight variability, though any unexpected clear spells could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Trader positioning at 51 percent implied probability for 27°C reflects this stable, above-average low driven by the current moist, weakly sheared environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
27°C 52%
26°C 27%
25°C 10%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
10%
26°C
27%
27°C
52%
28°C
10%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
26°C 27%
25°C 10%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
22°C or below
$27 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$17 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$17 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$422 Wol.
10%
26°C
$753 Wol.
27%
27°C
$1,497 Wol.
52%
28°C
$809 Wol.
10%
29°C
$17 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$17 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$27 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$27 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 6, with overnight lows holding near 26–27°C amid light winds, high humidity above 90 percent, and persistent cloud cover from a broad band of moisture. This aligns with subtropical September climatology where radiative cooling is limited by frequent showers and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing sharper drops. Numerical models show consensus on these values with minimal overnight variability, though any unexpected clear spells could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Trader positioning at 51 percent implied probability for 27°C reflects this stable, above-average low driven by the current moist, weakly sheared environment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,633Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 6, with overnight lows holding near 26–27°C amid light winds, high humidity above 90 percent, and persistent cloud cover from a broad band of moisture. This aligns with subtropical September climatology where radiative cooling is limited by frequent showers and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing sharper drops. Numerical models show consensus on these values with minimal overnight variability, though any unexpected clear spells could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Trader positioning at 51 percent implied probability for 27°C reflects this stable, above-average low driven by the current moist, weakly sheared environment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,633Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 6, with overnight lows holding near 26–27°C amid light winds, high humidity above 90 percent, and persistent cloud cover from a broad band of moisture. This aligns with subtropical September climatology where radiative cooling is limited by frequent showers and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing sharper drops. Numerical models show consensus on these values with minimal overnight variability, though any unexpected clear spells could allow brief dips toward 25°C. Trader positioning at 51 percent implied probability for 27°C reflects this stable, above-average low driven by the current moist, weakly sheared environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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