Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 26°C (34%) and 27°C (31.5%) amid 25°C at 27.5%. The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast calls for 27–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent weakening of Tropical Storm Saudel's remnants and a developing continental airstream have kept daytime maxima elevated while maintaining high humidity that supports overnight temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, but variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise low, with traders weighting the latest observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
22°C or below 47%
26°C 34%
27°C 32%
32°C or higher 29%
22°C or below
47%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
11%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
29%
22°C or below 47%
26°C 34%
27°C 32%
32°C or higher 29%
22°C or below
47%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
32%
28°C
11%
29°C
12%
30°C
19%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely fall in the 25–27°C range, with market-implied odds clustered tightly around 26°C (34%) and 27°C (31.5%) amid 25°C at 27.5%. The Hong Kong Observatory's official forecast calls for 27–32°C under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers and light winds, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Recent weakening of Tropical Storm Saudel's remnants and a developing continental airstream have kept daytime maxima elevated while maintaining high humidity that supports overnight temperatures near seasonal norms of 25–26°C. Model consensus shows limited spread, but variable shower timing and cloud cover introduce genuine uncertainty in the precise low, with traders weighting the latest observational trends and short-range guidance ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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