**Model divergence in nocturnal cooling forecasts is the main driver behind the near-even market split between a 25°C-or-below low (50%) and 35°C-or-higher (49%) for Jeddah on September 7.** Numerical weather prediction ensembles show spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light northwesterly winds, and Red Sea moisture influence. Some runs favor stronger boundary-layer decoupling and clearer skies that could push the minimum toward the mid-20s°C, while others indicate persistent mixing or cloud cover holding lows near or above 30°C. Historical September climatology centers on nighttime minima of 26–28°C. Fresh model updates from global centers and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 7?
25°C or below 100%
35°C or higher 96%
30°C 52%
26°C 49%
25°C or below
100%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
2%
34°C
49%
35°C or higher
96%
25°C or below 100%
35°C or higher 96%
30°C 52%
26°C 49%
25°C or below
100%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
49%
32°C
49%
33°C
2%
34°C
49%
35°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Model divergence in nocturnal cooling forecasts is the main driver behind the near-even market split between a 25°C-or-below low (50%) and 35°C-or-higher (49%) for Jeddah on September 7.** Numerical weather prediction ensembles show spread in overnight radiative cooling under typical late-summer conditions of high humidity, light northwesterly winds, and Red Sea moisture influence. Some runs favor stronger boundary-layer decoupling and clearer skies that could push the minimum toward the mid-20s°C, while others indicate persistent mixing or cloud cover holding lows near or above 30°C. Historical September climatology centers on nighttime minima of 26–28°C. Fresh model updates from global centers and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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