Ongoing southwest monsoon activity, with recent heavy showers and persistent cloud cover over Lucknow, is the main driver keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered around 25–26°C on September 2. High humidity near 90% and frequent thundershowers suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining a moist boundary layer, while light easterly winds limit advective cooling. Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs converge on a low near 25°C, consistent with typical September monsoon minima when widespread rain prevents drops below 24°C. The narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cloud breaks or localized rain timing, with probabilities below 22°C or above 27°C remaining negligible given the entrenched moist, overcast regime.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 2?
25°C 51%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
51%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 51%
22°C 50%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
50%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C
51%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon activity, with recent heavy showers and persistent cloud cover over Lucknow, is the main driver keeping minimum temperatures tightly clustered around 25–26°C on September 2. High humidity near 90% and frequent thundershowers suppress nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping longwave radiation and maintaining a moist boundary layer, while light easterly winds limit advective cooling. Official IMD guidance and multiple model runs converge on a low near 25°C, consistent with typical September monsoon minima when widespread rain prevents drops below 24°C. The narrow spread between 25°C and 26°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact overnight cloud breaks or localized rain timing, with probabilities below 22°C or above 27°C remaining negligible given the entrenched moist, overcast regime.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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