Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and Météo-France point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 10, with light northwesterly winds and high pressure supporting radiational cooling after recent showers. This setup favors a daily minimum near or below the 12.1°C climatological average for the date, positioning 8–9°C as the market consensus range amid typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical records show September 10 lows as cool as 4.8°C, though current conditions lack the extreme cold advection needed for such outliers. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clearer skies and drier air enhancing overnight drops against warmer ensemble members, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Paris stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
8°C 33%
9°C 33%
7°C or below 18%
10°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
7°C or below
18%
8°C
33%
9°C
33%
10°C
14%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
11%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
3%
8°C 33%
9°C 33%
7°C or below 18%
10°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
7°C or below
$300 Wol.
18%
8°C
$682 Wol.
33%
9°C
$865 Wol.
33%
10°C
$264 Wol.
14%
11°C
$231 Wol.
5%
12°C
$188 Wol.
5%
13°C
$381 Wol.
11%
14°C
$142 Wol.
1%
15°C
$25 Wol.
3%
16°C
$85 Wol.
1%
17°C or higher
$25 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and Météo-France point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 10, with light northwesterly winds and high pressure supporting radiational cooling after recent showers. This setup favors a daily minimum near or below the 12.1°C climatological average for the date, positioning 8–9°C as the market consensus range amid typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical records show September 10 lows as cool as 4.8°C, though current conditions lack the extreme cold advection needed for such outliers. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clearer skies and drier air enhancing overnight drops against warmer ensemble members, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,189Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and Météo-France point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 10, with light northwesterly winds and high pressure supporting radiational cooling after recent showers. This setup favors a daily minimum near or below the 12.1°C climatological average for the date, positioning 8–9°C as the market consensus range amid typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical records show September 10 lows as cool as 4.8°C, though current conditions lack the extreme cold advection needed for such outliers. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clearer skies and drier air enhancing overnight drops against warmer ensemble members, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,189Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like GFS and Météo-France point to clear to partly cloudy skies overnight into September 10, with light northwesterly winds and high pressure supporting radiational cooling after recent showers. This setup favors a daily minimum near or below the 12.1°C climatological average for the date, positioning 8–9°C as the market consensus range amid typical model uncertainty in boundary-layer temperatures. Historical records show September 10 lows as cool as 4.8°C, though current conditions lack the extreme cold advection needed for such outliers. Traders appear to weigh the potential for clearer skies and drier air enhancing overnight drops against warmer ensemble members, with resolution hinging on official minimum readings from Paris stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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