Current short-range forecasts from GFS and supporting models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C on September 11, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and light winds under 10 km/h. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes around 13°C and 14°C while keeping lower probabilities on 12°C or below, as no strong cold advection is expected. Historical September minima average near 11.5–12°C, providing context for the modest downside risk priced at 18.5 percent combined. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and ICON runs for any shift in boundary-layer moisture or timing of cloud breaks that could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
14°C 40%
13°C 32%
15°C 17%
12°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
5%
11°C
13%
12°C
15%
13°C
32%
14°C
40%
15°C
17%
16°C
14%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C or higher
2%
14°C 40%
13°C 32%
15°C 17%
12°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
5%
11°C
$0 Wol.
13%
12°C
$0 Wol.
15%
13°C
$738 Wol.
32%
14°C
$0 Wol.
40%
15°C
$0 Wol.
17%
16°C
$0 Wol.
14%
17°C
$0 Wol.
3%
18°C
$0 Wol.
3%
19°C
$0 Wol.
3%
20°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from GFS and supporting models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C on September 11, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and light winds under 10 km/h. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes around 13°C and 14°C while keeping lower probabilities on 12°C or below, as no strong cold advection is expected. Historical September minima average near 11.5–12°C, providing context for the modest downside risk priced at 18.5 percent combined. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and ICON runs for any shift in boundary-layer moisture or timing of cloud breaks that could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$738Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from GFS and supporting models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C on September 11, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and light winds under 10 km/h. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes around 13°C and 14°C while keeping lower probabilities on 12°C or below, as no strong cold advection is expected. Historical September minima average near 11.5–12°C, providing context for the modest downside risk priced at 18.5 percent combined. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and ICON runs for any shift in boundary-layer moisture or timing of cloud breaks that could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$738Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from GFS and supporting models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 13–14°C on September 11, driven by mild southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and light winds under 10 km/h. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes around 13°C and 14°C while keeping lower probabilities on 12°C or below, as no strong cold advection is expected. Historical September minima average near 11.5–12°C, providing context for the modest downside risk priced at 18.5 percent combined. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and ICON runs for any shift in boundary-layer moisture or timing of cloud breaks that could alter the exact minimum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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