Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 22?
10°C 40%
9°C 37%
12°C 36%
8°C 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
25%
8°C
32%
9°C
37%
10°C
40%
11°C
24%
12°C
36%
13°C
32%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
10°C 40%
9°C 37%
12°C 36%
8°C 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Wol.
25%
8°C
$0 Wol.
32%
9°C
$0 Wol.
37%
10°C
$145 Wol.
40%
11°C
$20 Wol.
24%
12°C
$0 Wol.
36%
13°C
$0 Wol.
32%
14°C
$0 Wol.
5%
15°C
$0 Wol.
2%
16°C
$0 Wol.
2%
17°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$165Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$165Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate a stable high-pressure system with clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Paris through September 22, supporting overnight radiative cooling but limiting deeper chill. This setup points to a daily minimum near 12°C, close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11°C for the date, with daytime highs reaching 25°C under mostly sunny conditions. Trader consensus around 10–11°C likely reflects lingering model spread on exact overnight minima and typical late-September variability, though current consensus shows low risk of sub-10°C readings absent an unexpected cold advection. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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