**Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models centers overnight lows for Incheon/Seoul on September 2 at 22–24°C, with 23°C as the most probable minimum.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from overnight and early-morning showers on September 1, and light variable winds are limiting radiational cooling and holding temperatures above the seasonal norm. KMA explicitly projects a 23°C morning low for both Seoul and Incheon under mostly cloudy skies with only light rain risk, while ensemble guidance from sources such as Yr.no and WeatherBug shows hourly readings bottoming near 22–24°C before sunrise. These conditions follow a period of monsoon-related moisture and the lingering influence of the North Pacific High, which has suppressed stronger cooling. With resolution based on official Incheon observations, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23°C (51%) and 24°C (23.5%) reflects this strong model agreement and the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before the overnight period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 2?
23°C 51%
24°C 26%
22°C 10%
21°C 5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
51%
24°C
26%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 51%
24°C 26%
22°C 10%
21°C 5%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
10%
23°C
51%
24°C
26%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models centers overnight lows for Incheon/Seoul on September 2 at 22–24°C, with 23°C as the most probable minimum.** Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from overnight and early-morning showers on September 1, and light variable winds are limiting radiational cooling and holding temperatures above the seasonal norm. KMA explicitly projects a 23°C morning low for both Seoul and Incheon under mostly cloudy skies with only light rain risk, while ensemble guidance from sources such as Yr.no and WeatherBug shows hourly readings bottoming near 22–24°C before sunrise. These conditions follow a period of monsoon-related moisture and the lingering influence of the North Pacific High, which has suppressed stronger cooling. With resolution based on official Incheon observations, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23°C (51%) and 24°C (23.5%) reflects this strong model agreement and the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before the overnight period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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