Market-implied odds point to a Tokyo low of 25°C or 26°C on August 22 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting late-summer climatology where average nighttime minima hover near 25–26°C under the influence of the subtropical Pacific high. Stable high-pressure dominance and limited frontal activity have kept recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance consistent with these ranges, with minimal model spread in ensemble runs. No major typhoon tracks or anomalous cooling patterns have emerged in the past week to alter trader consensus. Updated JMA forecasts and observational data releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
25°C 47%
26°C 36%
27°C 10%
24°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
47%
26°C
36%
27°C
10%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 36%
27°C 10%
24°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
5%
23°C
$0 Wol.
5%
24°C
$15 Wol.
9%
25°C
$16 Wol.
47%
26°C
$0 Wol.
36%
27°C
$20 Wol.
10%
28°C
$5 Wol.
8%
29°C
$5 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds point to a Tokyo low of 25°C or 26°C on August 22 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting late-summer climatology where average nighttime minima hover near 25–26°C under the influence of the subtropical Pacific high. Stable high-pressure dominance and limited frontal activity have kept recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance consistent with these ranges, with minimal model spread in ensemble runs. No major typhoon tracks or anomalous cooling patterns have emerged in the past week to alter trader consensus. Updated JMA forecasts and observational data releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$67Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds point to a Tokyo low of 25°C or 26°C on August 22 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting late-summer climatology where average nighttime minima hover near 25–26°C under the influence of the subtropical Pacific high. Stable high-pressure dominance and limited frontal activity have kept recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance consistent with these ranges, with minimal model spread in ensemble runs. No major typhoon tracks or anomalous cooling patterns have emerged in the past week to alter trader consensus. Updated JMA forecasts and observational data releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$67Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds point to a Tokyo low of 25°C or 26°C on August 22 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting late-summer climatology where average nighttime minima hover near 25–26°C under the influence of the subtropical Pacific high. Stable high-pressure dominance and limited frontal activity have kept recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance consistent with these ranges, with minimal model spread in ensemble runs. No major typhoon tracks or anomalous cooling patterns have emerged in the past week to alter trader consensus. Updated JMA forecasts and observational data releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities if steering patterns change.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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