Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated dew points near 23–24°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and light northeasterly winds under a weak pressure gradient have maintained overnight lows in this range during the preceding week, consistent with observed values of 21.5–25.2°C amid above-normal August rainfall. Model consensus favors little deviation from these conditions, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 23°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow band, reflecting the stability of current atmospheric patterns ahead of the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
25°C 48%
24°C 31%
26°C 11%
23°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
31%
25°C
48%
26°C
11%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 48%
24°C 31%
26°C 11%
23°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$151 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$15 Wol.
1%
22°C
$85 Wol.
4%
23°C
$98 Wol.
7%
24°C
$134 Wol.
31%
25°C
$336 Wol.
48%
26°C
$54 Wol.
11%
27°C
$97 Wol.
2%
28°C
$113 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$159 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$177 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated dew points near 23–24°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and light northeasterly winds under a weak pressure gradient have maintained overnight lows in this range during the preceding week, consistent with observed values of 21.5–25.2°C amid above-normal August rainfall. Model consensus favors little deviation from these conditions, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 23°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow band, reflecting the stability of current atmospheric patterns ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,218Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated dew points near 23–24°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and light northeasterly winds under a weak pressure gradient have maintained overnight lows in this range during the preceding week, consistent with observed values of 21.5–25.2°C amid above-normal August rainfall. Model consensus favors little deviation from these conditions, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 23°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow band, reflecting the stability of current atmospheric patterns ahead of the next forecast update.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,218Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and elevated dew points near 23–24°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and light northeasterly winds under a weak pressure gradient have maintained overnight lows in this range during the preceding week, consistent with observed values of 21.5–25.2°C amid above-normal August rainfall. Model consensus favors little deviation from these conditions, though any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings near 23°C. Trader-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow band, reflecting the stability of current atmospheric patterns ahead of the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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