**Cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a lingering weather pattern are the main drivers keeping Tokyo's overnight low on August 29 tightly clustered around 21–23 °C in trader consensus.** Persistent northeast flow and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while forecast guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency shows only modest clearing windows that could allow temperatures to dip to 21 °C or hold near 23 °C depending on the exact timing of any breaks. Historical August minima near 23 °C provide a baseline, but the current unsettled conditions introduce the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched 22 °C and 21 °C outcomes. Later model updates tonight will be the key data release that could shift positioning before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
23°C 13%
20°C 10%
24°C 7%
25°C 3%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
36%
22°C
37%
23°C
28%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 13%
20°C 10%
24°C 7%
25°C 3%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
36%
22°C
37%
23°C
28%
24°C
7%
25°C
3%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover and scattered showers associated with a lingering weather pattern are the main drivers keeping Tokyo's overnight low on August 29 tightly clustered around 21–23 °C in trader consensus.** Persistent northeast flow and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while forecast guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency shows only modest clearing windows that could allow temperatures to dip to 21 °C or hold near 23 °C depending on the exact timing of any breaks. Historical August minima near 23 °C provide a baseline, but the current unsettled conditions introduce the narrow spread reflected in the closely matched 22 °C and 21 °C outcomes. Later model updates tonight will be the key data release that could shift positioning before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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