Recent numerical weather models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit overnight cooling. This consensus underpins the 69.5% market-implied odds for exactly 20°C, while the 46.5% on 15°C or below captures residual model spread and potential for faster radiative cooling under clearer conditions. A strengthening northeasterly flow and associated moisture ahead of a frontal system expected September 8 will keep temperatures from dropping sharply tomorrow night. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 7?
20°C 98%
15°C or below 46%
19°C 16%
16°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
15°C or below
46%
16°C
15%
17°C
15%
18°C
8%
19°C
16%
20°C
80%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 98%
15°C or below 46%
19°C 16%
16°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
15°C or below
$5 Wol.
46%
16°C
$5 Wol.
15%
17°C
$5 Wol.
15%
18°C
$0 Wol.
8%
19°C
$63 Wol.
16%
20°C
$530 Wol.
80%
21°C
$1,141 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$45 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit overnight cooling. This consensus underpins the 69.5% market-implied odds for exactly 20°C, while the 46.5% on 15°C or below captures residual model spread and potential for faster radiative cooling under clearer conditions. A strengthening northeasterly flow and associated moisture ahead of a frontal system expected September 8 will keep temperatures from dropping sharply tomorrow night. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,898Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit overnight cooling. This consensus underpins the 69.5% market-implied odds for exactly 20°C, while the 46.5% on 15°C or below captures residual model spread and potential for faster radiative cooling under clearer conditions. A strengthening northeasterly flow and associated moisture ahead of a frontal system expected September 8 will keep temperatures from dropping sharply tomorrow night. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,898Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Zhengzhou on September 7, driven by partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and dew points around 18–20°C that limit overnight cooling. This consensus underpins the 69.5% market-implied odds for exactly 20°C, while the 46.5% on 15°C or below captures residual model spread and potential for faster radiative cooling under clearer conditions. A strengthening northeasterly flow and associated moisture ahead of a frontal system expected September 8 will keep temperatures from dropping sharply tomorrow night. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow morning represent the key data release likely to refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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