Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over central China on September 5, 2026, promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling that positioned the daily minimum near 17°C in Zhengzhou. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where overnight lows often range 18–22°C absent strong frontal systems or unusual moisture. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for the 17°C outcome, incorporates verified station readings and adjustments for urban heat island effects, while lower odds on 16°C or below reflect limited evidence of colder anomalies in regional analyses. Upcoming official China Meteorological Administration reports will provide final resolution thresholds based on standardized minimum temperature criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on September 5?
17°C 99.9%
16°C 96.0%
15°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$5,197 Wol.
$5,197 Wol.
15°C or below
1%
16°C
96%
17°C
100%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
17°C 99.9%
16°C 96.0%
15°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
$5,197 Wol.
$5,197 Wol.
15°C or below
1%
16°C
96%
17°C
100%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from meteorological agencies indicate stable high-pressure conditions over central China on September 5, 2026, promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling that positioned the daily minimum near 17°C in Zhengzhou. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the region, where overnight lows often range 18–22°C absent strong frontal systems or unusual moisture. Trader consensus, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for the 17°C outcome, incorporates verified station readings and adjustments for urban heat island effects, while lower odds on 16°C or below reflect limited evidence of colder anomalies in regional analyses. Upcoming official China Meteorological Administration reports will provide final resolution thresholds based on standardized minimum temperature criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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