The U.S. prosecution of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges remains in the pretrial phase following his January 2026 capture and not-guilty pleas. A June 2027 trial date was set in July, with defense motions due in September to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds and challenge the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline and potential for plea negotiations or evidentiary rulings, underpin the market's 70% probability on "No." Historical precedents involving foreign leaders and the specific requirement of convictions on every count further contribute to trader assessments of substantial uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano30% szansa
$132,711 Wol.
$132,711 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
30% szansa
$132,711 Wol.
$132,711 Wol.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. prosecution of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges remains in the pretrial phase following his January 2026 capture and not-guilty pleas. A June 2027 trial date was set in July, with defense motions due in September to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds and challenge the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline and potential for plea negotiations or evidentiary rulings, underpin the market's 70% probability on "No." Historical precedents involving foreign leaders and the specific requirement of convictions on every count further contribute to trader assessments of substantial uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$132,711Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The U.S. prosecution of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges remains in the pretrial phase following his January 2026 capture and not-guilty pleas. A June 2027 trial date was set in July, with defense motions due in September to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds and challenge the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline and potential for plea negotiations or evidentiary rulings, underpin the market's 70% probability on "No." Historical precedents involving foreign leaders and the specific requirement of convictions on every count further contribute to trader assessments of substantial uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$132,711Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. prosecution of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges remains in the pretrial phase following his January 2026 capture and not-guilty pleas. A June 2027 trial date was set in July, with defense motions due in September to seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds and challenge the circumstances of his removal from Venezuela. These procedural hurdles, combined with the extended timeline and potential for plea negotiations or evidentiary rulings, underpin the market's 70% probability on "No." Historical precedents involving foreign leaders and the specific requirement of convictions on every count further contribute to trader assessments of substantial uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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