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Polityka·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

icon for What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Polityka·Fed

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

NOWE

$19,818 Wol.

Aug 28, 2026
Polymarket

$19,818 Wol.

Polymarket

Bank / Asset 10+ times

$110 Wol.

36%

Task Force 5+ times

$620 Wol.

36%

Stable 5+ times

$374 Wol.

19%

AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times

$1,364 Wol.

63%

Challenge

$2,480 Wol.

59%

Framework

$1,354 Wol.

56%

Prediction / Predictive

$886 Wol.

40%

CapEx / Capital Expenditure

$617 Wol.

54%

Regime

$715 Wol.

56%

Integrity

$993 Wol.

44%

Productivity

$926 Wol.

77%

Independent / Independence

$181 Wol.

63%

2008 / Financial Crisis

$1,816 Wol.

52%

Good Day

$1,956 Wol.

35%

Good Morning

$530 Wol.

45%

Trump

$905 Wol.

6%

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

$1,693 Wol.

19%

Gold

$1,052 Wol.

9%

Too Late

$100 Wol.

6%

-No Qualifying Event-

$1,158 Wol.

5%

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh delivers his first major keynote as Federal Reserve Chair on August 28 at the Jackson Hole symposium, his initial platform for outlining views since taking office in May 2026. Markets price in elevated volatility given his restrained communications style, which has shortened FOMC statements, reduced forward guidance, and emphasized current conditions over rate-path signals. Recent July FOMC minutes showed 9-3 vote to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent amid dissent favoring hikes, while Warsh has indicated the address will address long-term structural questions on the monetary framework and financial innovation rather than near-term policy. Traders monitor any references to inflation expectations, real yields, or communications reforms ahead of the September FOMC.

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Wolumen
$19,818
Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfKevin Warsh delivers his first major keynote as Federal Reserve Chair on August 28 at the Jackson Hole symposium, his initial platform for outlining views since taking office in May 2026. Markets price in elevated volatility given his restrained communications style, which has shortened FOMC statements, reduced forward guidance, and emphasized current conditions over rate-path signals. Recent July FOMC minutes showed 9-3 vote to hold the funds rate at 3.50-3.75 percent amid dissent favoring hikes, while Warsh has indicated the address will address long-term structural questions on the monetary framework and financial innovation rather than near-term policy. Traders monitor any references to inflation expectations, real yields, or communications reforms ahead of the September FOMC.

Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Wolumen
$19,818
Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Często zadawane pytania

"What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 20 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Productivity" z 77%, za nim "AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times" z 63%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 77¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 77% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" wygenerował $19.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Aug 18, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?", przeglądaj 20 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" jest "Productivity" z 77%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 77% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times" z 63%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.