Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured elevated dissent levels, including three hawkish votes in July 2026 favoring a 25-basis-point rate hike amid sticky inflation above the 2% target and resilient domestic demand. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, trader-implied odds cluster tightly between one and three dissents, reflecting uncertainty over the 2027 voting roster, incoming economic data on CPI and labor markets, and the balance between inflation risks and any softening in employment. Hawkish regional bank presidents continue to signal preference for tighter policy, while forward-looking projections remain sensitive to Treasury yields and Fed funds rate expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
2 24%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
0
19%
1
22%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
18%
2 24%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
0
19%
1
22%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
18%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured elevated dissent levels, including three hawkish votes in July 2026 favoring a 25-basis-point rate hike amid sticky inflation above the 2% target and resilient domestic demand. With the January 2027 meeting still months away, trader-implied odds cluster tightly between one and three dissents, reflecting uncertainty over the 2027 voting roster, incoming economic data on CPI and labor markets, and the balance between inflation risks and any softening in employment. Hawkish regional bank presidents continue to signal preference for tighter policy, while forward-looking projections remain sensitive to Treasury yields and Fed funds rate expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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