Recent hawkish momentum at the FOMC, including the unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range on September 16, has narrowed expectations for December dissents amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient growth. Prior meetings featured fractured votes—three hawkish dissents in July favoring tightening and four in April—reflecting divides over policy restrictiveness versus labor-market risks at 4.1% unemployment. With voting rotations and incoming data on CPI, employment, and energy prices likely to shape the December statement, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on whether inflation trends moderate enough for broad consensus or prompt renewed hawkish or dovish pushback.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 23.9%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 9, 2026
0
19%
1
16%
2
24%
3
22%
4+
21%
2 23.9%
3 22%
4+ 21%
0 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Dec 9, 2026
0
$6,804 Wol.
19%
1
$489 Wol.
16%
2
$308 Wol.
24%
3
$345 Wol.
22%
4+
$358 Wol.
21%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent hawkish momentum at the FOMC, including the unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range on September 16, has narrowed expectations for December dissents amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient growth. Prior meetings featured fractured votes—three hawkish dissents in July favoring tightening and four in April—reflecting divides over policy restrictiveness versus labor-market risks at 4.1% unemployment. With voting rotations and incoming data on CPI, employment, and energy prices likely to shape the December statement, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on whether inflation trends moderate enough for broad consensus or prompt renewed hawkish or dovish pushback.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,305Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent hawkish momentum at the FOMC, including the unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range on September 16, has narrowed expectations for December dissents amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient growth. Prior meetings featured fractured votes—three hawkish dissents in July favoring tightening and four in April—reflecting divides over policy restrictiveness versus labor-market risks at 4.1% unemployment. With voting rotations and incoming data on CPI, employment, and energy prices likely to shape the December statement, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on whether inflation trends moderate enough for broad consensus or prompt renewed hawkish or dovish pushback.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$8,305Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent hawkish momentum at the FOMC, including the unanimous 25-basis-point hike to the 3.75-4.00% target range on September 16, has narrowed expectations for December dissents amid sticky inflation near 3.7% PCE and resilient growth. Prior meetings featured fractured votes—three hawkish dissents in July favoring tightening and four in April—reflecting divides over policy restrictiveness versus labor-market risks at 4.1% unemployment. With voting rotations and incoming data on CPI, employment, and energy prices likely to shape the December statement, trader-implied probabilities remain tightly clustered because outcomes hinge on whether inflation trends moderate enough for broad consensus or prompt renewed hawkish or dovish pushback.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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