Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured his party's nomination with over 92 percent in the June 2026 primary for Maryland's 8th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election. The district, encompassing affluent Montgomery County suburbs adjacent to Washington, D.C., has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, reflecting its voter base and alignment with Democratic priorities on federal policy. Traders assign the Democratic outcome a 97 percent implied probability, consistent with the seat's established partisan composition, Raskin's long tenure since 2017, and absence of competitive indicators. A shift would require an extraordinary development such as a late-breaking scandal, health event, or significant realignment in suburban turnout patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$26,547 Wol.
$26,547 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$26,547 Wol.
$26,547 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,067 Wol.
97%
Republican Party
$8,480 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured his party's nomination with over 92 percent in the June 2026 primary for Maryland's 8th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election. The district, encompassing affluent Montgomery County suburbs adjacent to Washington, D.C., has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, reflecting its voter base and alignment with Democratic priorities on federal policy. Traders assign the Democratic outcome a 97 percent implied probability, consistent with the seat's established partisan composition, Raskin's long tenure since 2017, and absence of competitive indicators. A shift would require an extraordinary development such as a late-breaking scandal, health event, or significant realignment in suburban turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,547Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured his party's nomination with over 92 percent in the June 2026 primary for Maryland's 8th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election. The district, encompassing affluent Montgomery County suburbs adjacent to Washington, D.C., has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, reflecting its voter base and alignment with Democratic priorities on federal policy. Traders assign the Democratic outcome a 97 percent implied probability, consistent with the seat's established partisan composition, Raskin's long tenure since 2017, and absence of competitive indicators. A shift would require an extraordinary development such as a late-breaking scandal, health event, or significant realignment in suburban turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$26,547Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured his party's nomination with over 92 percent in the June 2026 primary for Maryland's 8th congressional district, facing Republican nominee Cheryl Riley in the November general election. The district, encompassing affluent Montgomery County suburbs adjacent to Washington, D.C., has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles, reflecting its voter base and alignment with Democratic priorities on federal policy. Traders assign the Democratic outcome a 97 percent implied probability, consistent with the seat's established partisan composition, Raskin's long tenure since 2017, and absence of competitive indicators. A shift would require an extraordinary development such as a late-breaking scandal, health event, or significant realignment in suburban turnout patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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