Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, anchored by the failure of five specified triggers during March—Iranian regime endured U.S.-Israeli strikes without falling, Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation, and SAVE Act passed House but stalled in Senate without signing. The sole unresolved condition—James Talarico and John Cornyn as Texas U.S. Senate candidates—hinges on Cornyn's May 26 GOP primary runoff against challenger Ken Paxton, after Cornyn failed to clinch outright nomination. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% with intensifying grassroots momentum and early voting starting May 18, implying traders view Paxton victory likely to avert the matchup and secure "Nothing" resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNothing
$340,458 Wol.
$340,458 Wol.
Mar 31, 2026
Nothing
$340,458 Wol.
$340,458 Wol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, anchored by the failure of five specified triggers during March—Iranian regime endured U.S.-Israeli strikes without falling, Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation, and SAVE Act passed House but stalled in Senate without signing. The sole unresolved condition—James Talarico and John Cornyn as Texas U.S. Senate candidates—hinges on Cornyn's May 26 GOP primary runoff against challenger Ken Paxton, after Cornyn failed to clinch outright nomination. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% with intensifying grassroots momentum and early voting starting May 18, implying traders view Paxton victory likely to avert the matchup and secure "Nothing" resolution.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$340,458Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdfTrader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, anchored by the failure of five specified triggers during March—Iranian regime endured U.S.-Israeli strikes without falling, Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation, and SAVE Act passed House but stalled in Senate without signing. The sole unresolved condition—James Talarico and John Cornyn as Texas U.S. Senate candidates—hinges on Cornyn's May 26 GOP primary runoff against challenger Ken Paxton, after Cornyn failed to clinch outright nomination. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% with intensifying grassroots momentum and early voting starting May 18, implying traders view Paxton victory likely to avert the matchup and secure "Nothing" resolution.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
- Iranian Regime Falls
- Fed Rate Cut
- Trump declares election interference national emergency
- Insurrection Act invoked
- SAVE Act signed into law
- James Talarico and John Cornyn candidates for the Texas Senate Election
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
This market may remain open until the results of both Texas parties' primaries are known definitively.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH-March.pdf
Wolumen
$340,458Data zakończenia
Mar 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 3, 2026, 12:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "Nothing" at 60.5% for the March market, anchored by the failure of five specified triggers during March—Iranian regime endured U.S.-Israeli strikes without falling, Federal Reserve held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% with no cut, President Trump issued no election interference national emergency or Insurrection Act invocation, and SAVE Act passed House but stalled in Senate without signing. The sole unresolved condition—James Talarico and John Cornyn as Texas U.S. Senate candidates—hinges on Cornyn's May 26 GOP primary runoff against challenger Ken Paxton, after Cornyn failed to clinch outright nomination. Recent University of Houston polling shows Paxton leading narrowly 48%-45% with intensifying grassroots momentum and early voting starting May 18, implying traders view Paxton victory likely to avert the matchup and secure "Nothing" resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania