Recent releases and benchmark results are shaping trader views on the third-strongest AI agent lab by late November. Grok 4.6 from SpaceXAI leads several agentic evaluations, including APEX-Agents, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 demonstrates strong multi-agent “swarm” capabilities and large-scale open weights. OpenAI’s Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, and Google’s newly shipped Gemini 3.8 Flash all post competitive scores on tool-use, coding, and long-horizon tasks. Industry-wide safety pacts and Microsoft’s deliberate pacing add uncertainty to timelines. With probabilities clustered near 50 percent across many entrants, traders appear focused on which lab can deliver the next verifiable agent milestone before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoThird-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?
Moonshot 28%
DeepSeek 28%
ByteDance 24%
Amazon 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Moonshot
28%
DeepSeek
28%
ByteDance
24%
Amazon
20%
SpaceXAI
17%
OpenAI
15%
Xiaomi
14%
Mistral
12%
12%
Tencent
12%
Baidu
12%
Alibaba
11%
Nvidia
11%
Meituan
11%
Anthropic
16%
Microsoft
8%
Z.ai
8%
MiniMax
7%
Meta
9%
Moonshot 28%
DeepSeek 28%
ByteDance 24%
Amazon 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
Moonshot
$102 Wol.
28%
DeepSeek
$54 Wol.
28%
ByteDance
$54 Wol.
24%
Amazon
$54 Wol.
20%
SpaceXAI
$94 Wol.
17%
OpenAI
$54 Wol.
15%
Xiaomi
$54 Wol.
14%
Mistral
$54 Wol.
12%
$54 Wol.
12%
Tencent
$54 Wol.
12%
Baidu
$54 Wol.
12%
Alibaba
$54 Wol.
11%
Nvidia
$54 Wol.
11%
Meituan
$54 Wol.
11%
Anthropic
$68 Wol.
16%
Microsoft
$60 Wol.
8%
Z.ai
$54 Wol.
8%
MiniMax
$74 Wol.
7%
Meta
$54 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and benchmark results are shaping trader views on the third-strongest AI agent lab by late November. Grok 4.6 from SpaceXAI leads several agentic evaluations, including APEX-Agents, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 demonstrates strong multi-agent “swarm” capabilities and large-scale open weights. OpenAI’s Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, and Google’s newly shipped Gemini 3.8 Flash all post competitive scores on tool-use, coding, and long-horizon tasks. Industry-wide safety pacts and Microsoft’s deliberate pacing add uncertainty to timelines. With probabilities clustered near 50 percent across many entrants, traders appear focused on which lab can deliver the next verifiable agent milestone before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,151Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent releases and benchmark results are shaping trader views on the third-strongest AI agent lab by late November. Grok 4.6 from SpaceXAI leads several agentic evaluations, including APEX-Agents, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 demonstrates strong multi-agent “swarm” capabilities and large-scale open weights. OpenAI’s Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, and Google’s newly shipped Gemini 3.8 Flash all post competitive scores on tool-use, coding, and long-horizon tasks. Industry-wide safety pacts and Microsoft’s deliberate pacing add uncertainty to timelines. With probabilities clustered near 50 percent across many entrants, traders appear focused on which lab can deliver the next verifiable agent milestone before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$1,151Data zakończenia
Dec 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent releases and benchmark results are shaping trader views on the third-strongest AI agent lab by late November. Grok 4.6 from SpaceXAI leads several agentic evaluations, including APEX-Agents, while Moonshot’s Kimi K3 demonstrates strong multi-agent “swarm” capabilities and large-scale open weights. OpenAI’s Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5.1, and Google’s newly shipped Gemini 3.8 Flash all post competitive scores on tool-use, coding, and long-horizon tasks. Industry-wide safety pacts and Microsoft’s deliberate pacing add uncertainty to timelines. With probabilities clustered near 50 percent across many entrants, traders appear focused on which lab can deliver the next verifiable agent milestone before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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