Recent energy price pressures stemming from Middle East tensions have prompted the Bank of England to revise its 2026 inflation trajectory higher in the April Monetary Policy Report, with base-case projections now pointing to CPI rising above 3.5 percent by year-end before easing toward target. March 2026 CPI data printed at 3.3 percent year-over-year, marking an acceleration from February and underscoring sticky services inflation amid a looser labor market. Market-implied odds cluster around the 4.0–4.4 percent and 4.5 percent-plus buckets because traders price in greater persistence from second-round effects than the BoE’s central scenarios, while still assigning meaningful weight to downside risks should oil prices moderate quickly. The closely contested leading ranges highlight uncertainty around the balance between supply shocks and spare capacity, with upcoming CPI releases and the next Monetary Policy Committee decision serving as key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.0-4.4% 42%
4.5%+ 23%
3.5–3.9% 20%
1.5–1.9% 5.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
8%
3.5–3.9%
20%
4.0-4.4%
42%
4.5%+
36%
4.0-4.4% 42%
4.5%+ 23%
3.5–3.9% 20%
1.5–1.9% 5.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$802 Wol.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$330 Wol.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$483 Wol.
5%
2.0–2.4%
$305 Wol.
11%
2.5–2.9%
$385 Wol.
8%
3.5–3.9%
$525 Wol.
20%
4.0-4.4%
$420 Wol.
42%
4.5%+
$1,080 Wol.
36%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price pressures stemming from Middle East tensions have prompted the Bank of England to revise its 2026 inflation trajectory higher in the April Monetary Policy Report, with base-case projections now pointing to CPI rising above 3.5 percent by year-end before easing toward target. March 2026 CPI data printed at 3.3 percent year-over-year, marking an acceleration from February and underscoring sticky services inflation amid a looser labor market. Market-implied odds cluster around the 4.0–4.4 percent and 4.5 percent-plus buckets because traders price in greater persistence from second-round effects than the BoE’s central scenarios, while still assigning meaningful weight to downside risks should oil prices moderate quickly. The closely contested leading ranges highlight uncertainty around the balance between supply shocks and spare capacity, with upcoming CPI releases and the next Monetary Policy Committee decision serving as key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,329Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price pressures stemming from Middle East tensions have prompted the Bank of England to revise its 2026 inflation trajectory higher in the April Monetary Policy Report, with base-case projections now pointing to CPI rising above 3.5 percent by year-end before easing toward target. March 2026 CPI data printed at 3.3 percent year-over-year, marking an acceleration from February and underscoring sticky services inflation amid a looser labor market. Market-implied odds cluster around the 4.0–4.4 percent and 4.5 percent-plus buckets because traders price in greater persistence from second-round effects than the BoE’s central scenarios, while still assigning meaningful weight to downside risks should oil prices moderate quickly. The closely contested leading ranges highlight uncertainty around the balance between supply shocks and spare capacity, with upcoming CPI releases and the next Monetary Policy Committee decision serving as key near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Wolumen
$4,329Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price pressures stemming from Middle East tensions have prompted the Bank of England to revise its 2026 inflation trajectory higher in the April Monetary Policy Report, with base-case projections now pointing to CPI rising above 3.5 percent by year-end before easing toward target. March 2026 CPI data printed at 3.3 percent year-over-year, marking an acceleration from February and underscoring sticky services inflation amid a looser labor market. Market-implied odds cluster around the 4.0–4.4 percent and 4.5 percent-plus buckets because traders price in greater persistence from second-round effects than the BoE’s central scenarios, while still assigning meaningful weight to downside risks should oil prices moderate quickly. The closely contested leading ranges highlight uncertainty around the balance between supply shocks and spare capacity, with upcoming CPI releases and the next Monetary Policy Committee decision serving as key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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