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Finanse·Biznes

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

icon for Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?
Finanse·Biznes

Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?

$91,247 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$91,247 Wol.

Polymarket

JetBlue

$16,666 Wol.

14%

Frontier Airlines

$30,274 Wol.

26%

Allegiant

$19,975 Wol.

3%

American Airlines

$7,109 Wol.

8%

Alaska Airlines

$17,223 Wol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Major U.S. carriers face sustained pressure from elevated jet fuel prices near $4.50 per gallon and elevated debt loads, with Spirit Airlines executing its second Chapter 11 restructuring since 2024, targeting a reduction of long-term obligations from $7.4 billion to roughly $2 billion alongside a fleet contraction exceeding 50 percent ahead of a planned mid-2026 exit. Smaller operators including Silver Airways and Ravn Alaska have already shifted to liquidation or ceased operations in 2025-2026, while founder commentary and analyst models assign JetBlue greater than 75 percent probability of filing this year due to projected losses exceeding $1 billion and Frontier a 45-50 percent risk tied to lease-heavy balance sheets and limited premium revenue. Key upcoming catalysts include second-quarter earnings releases and any FOMC-driven shifts in energy costs that could alter free-cash-flow trajectories for these carriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$91,247
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Major U.S. carriers face sustained pressure from elevated jet fuel prices near $4.50 per gallon and elevated debt loads, with Spirit Airlines executing its second Chapter 11 restructuring since 2024, targeting a reduction of long-term obligations from $7.4 billion to roughly $2 billion alongside a fleet contraction exceeding 50 percent ahead of a planned mid-2026 exit. Smaller operators including Silver Airways and Ravn Alaska have already shifted to liquidation or ceased operations in 2025-2026, while founder commentary and analyst models assign JetBlue greater than 75 percent probability of filing this year due to projected losses exceeding $1 billion and Frontier a 45-50 percent risk tied to lease-heavy balance sheets and limited premium revenue. Key upcoming catalysts include second-quarter earnings releases and any FOMC-driven shifts in energy costs that could alter free-cash-flow trajectories for these carriers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs.

The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company.

A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$91,247
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
May 5, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Frontier Airlines" z 26%, za nim "JetBlue" z 14%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 26¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 26% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" wygenerował $91.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 5, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" jest "Frontier Airlines" z 26%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 26% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "JetBlue" z 14%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.