Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) in June at an 80.5% implied probability, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, and Reuters-reported plans for an early June roadshow aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent analyst briefings, accelerated employee share vesting, and Starlink revenue exceeding $20 billion annually have solidified momentum, positioning June as the frontrunner while July carries 9.2% on potential minor delays. Strong capital commitments reflect "wisdom of crowds" pricing, though SEC review timelines introduce uncertainty. Key catalysts include the anticipated late-May public filing and June 8 roadshow kickoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJune 82%
July 9.2%
August 4.3%
No IPO before 2027 2.3%
$339,755 Wol.
$339,755 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
May
1%
June
81%
July
9%
August
4%
September
<1%
October
1%
November
1%
December
<1%
No IPO before 2027
2%
June 82%
July 9.2%
August 4.3%
No IPO before 2027 2.3%
$339,755 Wol.
$339,755 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
May
$61,465 Wol.
1%
June
$107,998 Wol.
81%
July
$18,221 Wol.
9%
August
$10,381 Wol.
4%
September
$10,738 Wol.
<1%
October
$9,159 Wol.
1%
November
$10,635 Wol.
1%
December
$5,942 Wol.
<1%
No IPO before 2027
$14,543 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) in June at an 80.5% implied probability, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, and Reuters-reported plans for an early June roadshow aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent analyst briefings, accelerated employee share vesting, and Starlink revenue exceeding $20 billion annually have solidified momentum, positioning June as the frontrunner while July carries 9.2% on potential minor delays. Strong capital commitments reflect "wisdom of crowds" pricing, though SEC review timelines introduce uncertainty. Key catalysts include the anticipated late-May public filing and June 8 roadshow kickoff.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$339,755Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) in June at an 80.5% implied probability, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, and Reuters-reported plans for an early June roadshow aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent analyst briefings, accelerated employee share vesting, and Starlink revenue exceeding $20 billion annually have solidified momentum, positioning June as the frontrunner while July carries 9.2% on potential minor delays. Strong capital commitments reflect "wisdom of crowds" pricing, though SEC review timelines introduce uncertainty. Key catalysts include the anticipated late-May public filing and June 8 roadshow kickoff.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Wolumen
$339,755Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) in June at an 80.5% implied probability, propelled by the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1, 2026, and Reuters-reported plans for an early June roadshow aiming to raise $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation. Recent analyst briefings, accelerated employee share vesting, and Starlink revenue exceeding $20 billion annually have solidified momentum, positioning June as the frontrunner while July carries 9.2% on potential minor delays. Strong capital commitments reflect "wisdom of crowds" pricing, though SEC review timelines introduce uncertainty. Key catalysts include the anticipated late-May public filing and June 8 roadshow kickoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania