Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 71% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after the company's January confidential submission to the SEC, which targeted a March debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. This stall amid tepid tech IPO conditions and regulatory review delays has eroded momentum, positioning "No IPO" as the clear leader. The secondary 15.2% on under $15 billion market cap aligns with Discord's compressed private valuation near $8 billion—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid monetization pressures from its gaming-heavy user base and estimated sub-$1 billion annual recurring revenue lacking clear profitability. Higher brackets languish below 6% due to competitive SaaS dynamics akin to Slack's trajectory. Watch for S-1 disclosure as the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Brak debiutu giełdowego do 30 czerwca 2026 71%
<15 mld 15.2%
25–30 mld 4.9%
15–20 mld 4.1%
$889,633 Wol.
$889,633 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15 mld
15%
15–20 mld
4%
20–25 mld
<1%
25–30 mld
5%
30 mld+
1%
Brak debiutu giełdowego do 30 czerwca 2026
71%
Brak debiutu giełdowego do 30 czerwca 2026 71%
<15 mld 15.2%
25–30 mld 4.9%
15–20 mld 4.1%
$889,633 Wol.
$889,633 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<15 mld
$298,387 Wol.
15%
15–20 mld
$109,427 Wol.
4%
20–25 mld
$74,403 Wol.
<1%
25–30 mld
$113,013 Wol.
5%
30 mld+
$100,260 Wol.
1%
Brak debiutu giełdowego do 30 czerwca 2026
$194,142 Wol.
71%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 71% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after the company's January confidential submission to the SEC, which targeted a March debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. This stall amid tepid tech IPO conditions and regulatory review delays has eroded momentum, positioning "No IPO" as the clear leader. The secondary 15.2% on under $15 billion market cap aligns with Discord's compressed private valuation near $8 billion—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid monetization pressures from its gaming-heavy user base and estimated sub-$1 billion annual recurring revenue lacking clear profitability. Higher brackets languish below 6% due to competitive SaaS dynamics akin to Slack's trajectory. Watch for S-1 disclosure as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$889,633Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 71% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after the company's January confidential submission to the SEC, which targeted a March debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. This stall amid tepid tech IPO conditions and regulatory review delays has eroded momentum, positioning "No IPO" as the clear leader. The secondary 15.2% on under $15 billion market cap aligns with Discord's compressed private valuation near $8 billion—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid monetization pressures from its gaming-heavy user base and estimated sub-$1 billion annual recurring revenue lacking clear profitability. Higher brackets languish below 6% due to competitive SaaS dynamics akin to Slack's trajectory. Watch for S-1 disclosure as the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$889,633Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 71% implied probability for no Discord IPO by June 30, 2026, driven by the absence of a public S-1 filing four months after the company's January confidential submission to the SEC, which targeted a March debut with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan underwriting. This stall amid tepid tech IPO conditions and regulatory review delays has eroded momentum, positioning "No IPO" as the clear leader. The secondary 15.2% on under $15 billion market cap aligns with Discord's compressed private valuation near $8 billion—down from a $15 billion 2021 peak—amid monetization pressures from its gaming-heavy user base and estimated sub-$1 billion annual recurring revenue lacking clear profitability. Higher brackets languish below 6% due to competitive SaaS dynamics akin to Slack's trajectory. Watch for S-1 disclosure as the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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