Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.8% implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization efforts amid regulatory and political hurdles for the government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) still under FHFA conservatorship since 2008. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 statement that IPO timing rests entirely with President Trump, coupled with KBW's April assessment of a narrowing window before November midterms, has driven shares to 52-week lows and solidified no-IPO positioning, as recapitalization lacks firm Treasury or FHFA filings. Barclays and Barron's recent notes highlight dimming prospects despite earlier Q2 speculation. Realistic challenges include an abrupt Trump directive or accelerated administrative approvals in the coming weeks, though proximity to resolution favors the status quo.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNo IPO by June 30, 2026 95.8%
150–200B 2.4%
300B+ <1%
<150B <1%
$200,626 Wol.
$200,626 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<150B
<1%
150–200B
2%
200–250B
<1%
250–300B
<1%
300B+
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
96%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 95.8%
150–200B 2.4%
300B+ <1%
<150B <1%
$200,626 Wol.
$200,626 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<150B
$81,902 Wol.
<1%
150–200B
$32,450 Wol.
2%
200–250B
$20,034 Wol.
<1%
250–300B
$6,727 Wol.
<1%
300B+
$11,975 Wol.
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$47,538 Wol.
96%
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.8% implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization efforts amid regulatory and political hurdles for the government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) still under FHFA conservatorship since 2008. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 statement that IPO timing rests entirely with President Trump, coupled with KBW's April assessment of a narrowing window before November midterms, has driven shares to 52-week lows and solidified no-IPO positioning, as recapitalization lacks firm Treasury or FHFA filings. Barclays and Barron's recent notes highlight dimming prospects despite earlier Q2 speculation. Realistic challenges include an abrupt Trump directive or accelerated administrative approvals in the coming weeks, though proximity to resolution favors the status quo.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$200,626Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.8% implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization efforts amid regulatory and political hurdles for the government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) still under FHFA conservatorship since 2008. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 statement that IPO timing rests entirely with President Trump, coupled with KBW's April assessment of a narrowing window before November midterms, has driven shares to 52-week lows and solidified no-IPO positioning, as recapitalization lacks firm Treasury or FHFA filings. Barclays and Barron's recent notes highlight dimming prospects despite earlier Q2 speculation. Realistic challenges include an abrupt Trump directive or accelerated administrative approvals in the coming weeks, though proximity to resolution favors the status quo.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$200,626Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95.8% implied probability of no Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization efforts amid regulatory and political hurdles for the government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) still under FHFA conservatorship since 2008. FHFA Director Bill Pulte's May 6 statement that IPO timing rests entirely with President Trump, coupled with KBW's April assessment of a narrowing window before November midterms, has driven shares to 52-week lows and solidified no-IPO positioning, as recapitalization lacks firm Treasury or FHFA filings. Barclays and Barron's recent notes highlight dimming prospects despite earlier Q2 speculation. Realistic challenges include an abrupt Trump directive or accelerated administrative approvals in the coming weeks, though proximity to resolution favors the status quo.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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