Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 86.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, with credible reports confirming the data analytics leader remains private. This positioning stems from February's $5 billion funding round—plus $2 billion in debt—at a $134 billion private valuation, providing ample runway amid volatile public markets and hedging against an AI slowdown. Specific market cap outcomes trail far behind due to timeline uncertainty, though H2 2026 speculation persists on $4 billion-plus annual recurring revenue and AI workload growth. Watch for confidential S-1 signals or CEO updates to shift sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLimit giełdowy IPO Databricks
Limit giełdowy IPO Databricks
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 94.7%
200–250 mld USD 2.2%
125–150 mld 1.7%
100–125 mld 1.3%
$403,994 Wol.
$403,994 Wol.
<100 mld
<1%
100–125 mld
1%
125–150 mld
2%
150–175 mld
<1%
175–200 mld
<1%
200–250 mld USD
2%
250 mld+
<1%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku
87%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku 94.7%
200–250 mld USD 2.2%
125–150 mld 1.7%
100–125 mld 1.3%
$403,994 Wol.
$403,994 Wol.
<100 mld
<1%
100–125 mld
1%
125–150 mld
2%
150–175 mld
<1%
175–200 mld
<1%
200–250 mld USD
2%
250 mld+
<1%
Brak IPO do 30 czerwca 2026 roku
87%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, at 86.3% implied probability, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official announcement as of mid-May, with credible reports confirming the data analytics leader remains private. This positioning stems from February's $5 billion funding round—plus $2 billion in debt—at a $134 billion private valuation, providing ample runway amid volatile public markets and hedging against an AI slowdown. Specific market cap outcomes trail far behind due to timeline uncertainty, though H2 2026 speculation persists on $4 billion-plus annual recurring revenue and AI workload growth. Watch for confidential S-1 signals or CEO updates to shift sentiment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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