Strava's last priced valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 round, including debt, continues to anchor trader views on its IPO closing market cap. The company confirmed a confidential S-1 filing in February 2026 after hiring banks including Goldman Sachs in late 2025, yet the expected spring window passed without a public filing or priced offering as of September 2026. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated revenue, a large active user base, and profitability, the platform shows steady subscription growth that could support a modest re-rating or stability near private levels. The close contest between the 2B–3B and 4B–5B buckets reflects uncertainty over public-market multiples for consumer fitness apps, broader IPO conditions, and execution timing risks that could keep the debut in the low-to-mid billions or allow separation if growth accelerates or sentiment improves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoStrava IPO Closing Market Cap
2B–3B 30%
3B–4B 8.6%
5B–7B 5.1%
10B–15B 5.1%
$91,226 Wol.
$91,226 Wol.
<2B
7%
2B–3B
30%
3B–4B
9%
4B–5B
38%
5B–7B
5%
7B–10B
22%
10B–15B
5%
15B+
4%
No IPO before 2028
7%
2B–3B 30%
3B–4B 8.6%
5B–7B 5.1%
10B–15B 5.1%
$91,226 Wol.
$91,226 Wol.
<2B
7%
2B–3B
30%
3B–4B
9%
4B–5B
38%
5B–7B
5%
7B–10B
22%
10B–15B
5%
15B+
4%
No IPO before 2028
7%
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Strava's last priced valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 round, including debt, continues to anchor trader views on its IPO closing market cap. The company confirmed a confidential S-1 filing in February 2026 after hiring banks including Goldman Sachs in late 2025, yet the expected spring window passed without a public filing or priced offering as of September 2026. With roughly $415–490 million in estimated revenue, a large active user base, and profitability, the platform shows steady subscription growth that could support a modest re-rating or stability near private levels. The close contest between the 2B–3B and 4B–5B buckets reflects uncertainty over public-market multiples for consumer fitness apps, broader IPO conditions, and execution timing risks that could keep the debut in the low-to-mid billions or allow separation if growth accelerates or sentiment improves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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