Anthropic's strong lead in the market stems from its Claude family of large language models, particularly the Opus and Sonnet 4.6 and 4.7 variants, which have topped recent benchmarks for coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning on evaluations like SWE-bench and GPQA. These models' demonstrated strengths in enterprise applications and multi-step task handling have solidified trader consensus around Anthropic's edge heading into late May. Google holds a distant second due to Gemini 3.1 Pro's solid reasoning scores, while OpenAI trails as newer GPT-5.5 iterations focus more on general chat than specialized frontiers. A surprise model update from Google or OpenAI with breakthrough benchmark gains before the end of the month could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such a shift unlikely without major announcements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 91%
Google 6%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,019,227 Wol.
$9,019,227 Wol.

Anthropic
91%

6%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Meta
<1%

xAI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 91%
Google 6%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,019,227 Wol.
$9,019,227 Wol.

Anthropic
91%

6%

OpenAI
1%

ByteDance
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Meta
<1%

xAI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's strong lead in the market stems from its Claude family of large language models, particularly the Opus and Sonnet 4.6 and 4.7 variants, which have topped recent benchmarks for coding, agentic workflows, and long-context reasoning on evaluations like SWE-bench and GPQA. These models' demonstrated strengths in enterprise applications and multi-step task handling have solidified trader consensus around Anthropic's edge heading into late May. Google holds a distant second due to Gemini 3.1 Pro's solid reasoning scores, while OpenAI trails as newer GPT-5.5 iterations focus more on general chat than specialized frontiers. A surprise model update from Google or OpenAI with breakthrough benchmark gains before the end of the month could narrow the gap, though current trajectories make such a shift unlikely without major announcements.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania