Traders have driven Anthropic to a commanding 93.5% implied probability because its latest large language model continues to lead independent benchmarks in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks, outpacing recent releases from Google and OpenAI. The end-of-May resolution date is now just days away, leaving little time for competitors to close the gap with new versions or third-party evaluations. While this consensus reflects real capital backing demonstrated performance gains, an unexpected model drop or breakthrough benchmark result from another lab could still narrow the margin if it arrives before the cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model end of May?
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 93%
Google 3.7%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$9,134,432 Wol.
$9,134,432 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
4%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
Google 3.7%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$9,134,432 Wol.
$9,134,432 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$713,863 Wol.
93%
$644,148 Wol.
4%
OpenAI
$787,035 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$571,669 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$545,026 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$597,258 Wol.
<1%
xAI
$681,184 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$518,490 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$564,883 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$478,923 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$471,347 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,423,820 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$418,351 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have driven Anthropic to a commanding 93.5% implied probability because its latest large language model continues to lead independent benchmarks in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks, outpacing recent releases from Google and OpenAI. The end-of-May resolution date is now just days away, leaving little time for competitors to close the gap with new versions or third-party evaluations. While this consensus reflects real capital backing demonstrated performance gains, an unexpected model drop or breakthrough benchmark result from another lab could still narrow the margin if it arrives before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,134,432Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders have driven Anthropic to a commanding 93.5% implied probability because its latest large language model continues to lead independent benchmarks in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks, outpacing recent releases from Google and OpenAI. The end-of-May resolution date is now just days away, leaving little time for competitors to close the gap with new versions or third-party evaluations. While this consensus reflects real capital backing demonstrated performance gains, an unexpected model drop or breakthrough benchmark result from another lab could still narrow the margin if it arrives before the cutoff.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$9,134,432Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have driven Anthropic to a commanding 93.5% implied probability because its latest large language model continues to lead independent benchmarks in reasoning, coding, and multimodal tasks, outpacing recent releases from Google and OpenAI. The end-of-May resolution date is now just days away, leaving little time for competitors to close the gap with new versions or third-party evaluations. While this consensus reflects real capital backing demonstrated performance gains, an unexpected model drop or breakthrough benchmark result from another lab could still narrow the margin if it arrives before the cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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