Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 92 percent implied probability of fielding the best artificial intelligence model by the end of May, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have posted leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and safety alignment. This positioning stems from sustained enterprise adoption and consistent outperformance versus peers in practical deployments, while Google and OpenAI trail with far lower shares amid their own ongoing iterations. The compressed timeline to resolution leaves limited room for major shifts, though an unexpected capability breakthrough or benchmark update from a competitor could still alter the outcome before month-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best AI model end of May?
Which company has the best AI model end of May?
Anthropic 93%
Google 6%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,034,183 Wol.
$9,034,183 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
6%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
Google 6%
OpenAI 1.0%
ByteDance <1%
$9,034,183 Wol.
$9,034,183 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$683,850 Wol.
93%
$625,917 Wol.
6%
OpenAI
$769,384 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$561,501 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$530,470 Wol.
<1%
Meta
$591,846 Wol.
<1%
xAI
$679,620 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$518,490 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$564,147 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$478,923 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$471,347 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,423,820 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$418,351 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 92 percent implied probability of fielding the best artificial intelligence model by the end of May, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have posted leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and safety alignment. This positioning stems from sustained enterprise adoption and consistent outperformance versus peers in practical deployments, while Google and OpenAI trail with far lower shares amid their own ongoing iterations. The compressed timeline to resolution leaves limited room for major shifts, though an unexpected capability breakthrough or benchmark update from a competitor could still alter the outcome before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,034,183Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 92 percent implied probability of fielding the best artificial intelligence model by the end of May, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have posted leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and safety alignment. This positioning stems from sustained enterprise adoption and consistent outperformance versus peers in practical deployments, while Google and OpenAI trail with far lower shares amid their own ongoing iterations. The compressed timeline to resolution leaves limited room for major shifts, though an unexpected capability breakthrough or benchmark update from a competitor could still alter the outcome before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$9,034,183Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 92 percent implied probability of fielding the best artificial intelligence model by the end of May, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have posted leading results on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and safety alignment. This positioning stems from sustained enterprise adoption and consistent outperformance versus peers in practical deployments, while Google and OpenAI trail with far lower shares amid their own ongoing iterations. The compressed timeline to resolution leaves limited room for major shifts, though an unexpected capability breakthrough or benchmark update from a competitor could still alter the outcome before month-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania