Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus iterations, have established a clear lead in coding-specific benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and agentic coding evaluations, driving the 94% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in complex refactoring, test generation, and production-quality output compared with OpenAI’s GPT-5 series. Developers and third-party leaderboards highlight Claude’s edge in contextual synthesis and reliable multi-step code tasks, reinforced by steady enterprise adoption and no major competitive releases in recent weeks. With resolution at the end of June now just weeks away, a surprise model update from OpenAI, Google, or another lab could still shift relative rankings if it demonstrates superior results on the same standardized tests before the cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best Coding AI model end of June?
Anthropic 94%
OpenAI 5.1%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$49,557 Wol.
$49,557 Wol.

Anthropic
94%

OpenAI
5%

Z.ai
1%

<1%

xAI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Meta
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Anthropic 94%
OpenAI 5.1%
Z.ai <1%
Google <1%
$49,557 Wol.
$49,557 Wol.

Anthropic
94%

OpenAI
5%

Z.ai
1%

<1%

xAI
<1%

Alibaba
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Meta
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s Claude models, particularly recent Opus iterations, have established a clear lead in coding-specific benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified and agentic coding evaluations, driving the 94% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in complex refactoring, test generation, and production-quality output compared with OpenAI’s GPT-5 series. Developers and third-party leaderboards highlight Claude’s edge in contextual synthesis and reliable multi-step code tasks, reinforced by steady enterprise adoption and no major competitive releases in recent weeks. With resolution at the end of June now just weeks away, a surprise model update from OpenAI, Google, or another lab could still shift relative rankings if it demonstrates superior results on the same standardized tests before the cutoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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