Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 70% implied probability for fielding the best math AI model by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude iterations that have posted leading results on rigorous quantitative benchmarks through enhanced chain-of-thought reasoning and targeted post-training. This edge stems from focused improvements in handling multi-step proofs and symbolic manipulation, areas where competitors like Google and OpenAI have delivered only incremental gains in their latest large language model releases. The market pricing underscores how specialized capability demonstrations in competitive AI labs can quickly consolidate trader consensus ahead of the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Anthropic 70%
Google 16%
OpenAI 13%
xAI <1%
$120,973 Wol.
$120,973 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
70%
16%
OpenAI
13%
xAI
1%
ByteDance
1%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 70%
Google 16%
OpenAI 13%
xAI <1%
$120,973 Wol.
$120,973 Wol.
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$19,820 Wol.
70%
$11,581 Wol.
16%
OpenAI
$19,317 Wol.
13%
xAI
$9,193 Wol.
1%
ByteDance
$7,209 Wol.
1%
Z.ai
$7,004 Wol.
1%
DeepSeek
$6,880 Wol.
1%
Meta
$6,837 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$7,254 Wol.
<1%
Alibaba
$7,515 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$8,279 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,116 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$4,546 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,909 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,512 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 70% implied probability for fielding the best math AI model by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude iterations that have posted leading results on rigorous quantitative benchmarks through enhanced chain-of-thought reasoning and targeted post-training. This edge stems from focused improvements in handling multi-step proofs and symbolic manipulation, areas where competitors like Google and OpenAI have delivered only incremental gains in their latest large language model releases. The market pricing underscores how specialized capability demonstrations in competitive AI labs can quickly consolidate trader consensus ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$120,973Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 70% implied probability for fielding the best math AI model by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude iterations that have posted leading results on rigorous quantitative benchmarks through enhanced chain-of-thought reasoning and targeted post-training. This edge stems from focused improvements in handling multi-step proofs and symbolic manipulation, areas where competitors like Google and OpenAI have delivered only incremental gains in their latest large language model releases. The market pricing underscores how specialized capability demonstrations in competitive AI labs can quickly consolidate trader consensus ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$120,973Data zakończenia
May 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Anthropic a dominant 70% implied probability for fielding the best math AI model by end of May, reflecting its recent Claude iterations that have posted leading results on rigorous quantitative benchmarks through enhanced chain-of-thought reasoning and targeted post-training. This edge stems from focused improvements in handling multi-step proofs and symbolic manipulation, areas where competitors like Google and OpenAI have delivered only incremental gains in their latest large language model releases. The market pricing underscores how specialized capability demonstrations in competitive AI labs can quickly consolidate trader consensus ahead of the resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania