Recent CFTC advisory guidance and a June 2026 proposed rulemaking have raised the bar for self-certification of sports event contracts by requiring pre-filing engagement with leagues, detailed Core Principle 3 manipulation analyses, and information-sharing agreements. CME Group completed its filings earlier, establishing precedent and driving its implied probability near certainty. Railbird and LedgerX maintain strong trader consensus above 78 percent amid streamlined multi-contract submission options, while Aristotle sits near even odds as platforms weigh compliance costs and CFTC stay risk. With only days until the June 30 resolution, any additional self-certifications or public statements from remaining DCMs could rapidly shift sentiment before the deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$127,089 Wol.
ForecastEx
1%
Aristotle
1%
Small Exchange
1%
CBOE
1%
ICE
<1%
The Clearing Company
<1%
$127,089 Wol.
ForecastEx
1%
Aristotle
1%
Small Exchange
1%
CBOE
1%
ICE
<1%
The Clearing Company
<1%
The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 1, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent CFTC advisory guidance and a June 2026 proposed rulemaking have raised the bar for self-certification of sports event contracts by requiring pre-filing engagement with leagues, detailed Core Principle 3 manipulation analyses, and information-sharing agreements. CME Group completed its filings earlier, establishing precedent and driving its implied probability near certainty. Railbird and LedgerX maintain strong trader consensus above 78 percent amid streamlined multi-contract submission options, while Aristotle sits near even odds as platforms weigh compliance costs and CFTC stay risk. With only days until the June 30 resolution, any additional self-certifications or public statements from remaining DCMs could rapidly shift sentiment before the deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania