Skip to main content
icon for Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Polityka·Zarabiaj 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

icon for Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Polityka·Zarabiaj 4%

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

65% szansa
Polymarket

$62,283 Wol.

65% szansa
Polymarket

$62,283 Wol.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability of House impeachment before President Trump's term ends in January 2029, driven primarily by high expectations for Democrats to regain the House majority in the 2026 midterms—currently priced at 87%—which would enable advancement of multiple articles of impeachment already filed by House Democrats, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939 citing high crimes and misdemeanors. Recent April polls show a majority of likely voters supporting impeachment just 14 months into the term, amid falling approval ratings tied to Iran tensions and gas prices. House Republicans currently hold the majority, blocking action, but procedural votes and 25th Amendment discussions signal rising partisan pressure ahead of midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$62,283
Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029
Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 65% implied probability of House impeachment before President Trump's term ends in January 2029, driven primarily by high expectations for Democrats to regain the House majority in the 2026 midterms—currently priced at 87%—which would enable advancement of multiple articles of impeachment already filed by House Democrats, including H.Res. 353 and H.Res. 939 citing high crimes and misdemeanors. Recent April polls show a majority of likely voters supporting impeachment just 14 months into the term, amid falling approval ratings tied to Iran tensions and gas prices. House Republicans currently hold the majority, blocking action, but procedural votes and 25th Amendment discussions signal rising partisan pressure ahead of midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$62,283
Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029
Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 65% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 65¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 65% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" wygenerował $62.3K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Mar 19, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" to 65% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 65% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.