**Trader consensus reflects low likelihood of a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end due to persistent political risks and absence of official White House commitment.** Recent speculation arose from Maxwell's lawyer publicly anticipating clemency in exchange for Epstein-related cooperation (April 17), divided House Oversight Committee views on potential pardon to aid investigations (May 3), and Trump's planned 250 pardons marking America's 250th anniversary, prompting concerns she could be included. However, sharp Democratic rebukes, including Ranking Member Robert Garcia's condemnation of Republican consideration (April 23), no presidential endorsement, and backlash over her 2021 sex trafficking conviction underscore barriers. Ongoing congressional scrutiny and Trump's historical distancing from Epstein further solidify the 90.5% "No" implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTak
$552,038 Wol.
$552,038 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Tak
$552,038 Wol.
$552,038 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus reflects low likelihood of a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end due to persistent political risks and absence of official White House commitment.** Recent speculation arose from Maxwell's lawyer publicly anticipating clemency in exchange for Epstein-related cooperation (April 17), divided House Oversight Committee views on potential pardon to aid investigations (May 3), and Trump's planned 250 pardons marking America's 250th anniversary, prompting concerns she could be included. However, sharp Democratic rebukes, including Ranking Member Robert Garcia's condemnation of Republican consideration (April 23), no presidential endorsement, and backlash over her 2021 sex trafficking conviction underscore barriers. Ongoing congressional scrutiny and Trump's historical distancing from Epstein further solidify the 90.5% "No" implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Wolumen
$552,038Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Trader consensus reflects low likelihood of a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end due to persistent political risks and absence of official White House commitment.** Recent speculation arose from Maxwell's lawyer publicly anticipating clemency in exchange for Epstein-related cooperation (April 17), divided House Oversight Committee views on potential pardon to aid investigations (May 3), and Trump's planned 250 pardons marking America's 250th anniversary, prompting concerns she could be included. However, sharp Democratic rebukes, including Ranking Member Robert Garcia's condemnation of Republican consideration (April 23), no presidential endorsement, and backlash over her 2021 sex trafficking conviction underscore barriers. Ongoing congressional scrutiny and Trump's historical distancing from Epstein further solidify the 90.5% "No" implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$552,038Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...**Trader consensus reflects low likelihood of a Trump pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell by year-end due to persistent political risks and absence of official White House commitment.** Recent speculation arose from Maxwell's lawyer publicly anticipating clemency in exchange for Epstein-related cooperation (April 17), divided House Oversight Committee views on potential pardon to aid investigations (May 3), and Trump's planned 250 pardons marking America's 250th anniversary, prompting concerns she could be included. However, sharp Democratic rebukes, including Ranking Member Robert Garcia's condemnation of Republican consideration (April 23), no presidential endorsement, and backlash over her 2021 sex trafficking conviction underscore barriers. Ongoing congressional scrutiny and Trump's historical distancing from Epstein further solidify the 90.5% "No" implied probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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