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Polityka·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Polityka·Trump

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$217,845 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$217,845 Wol.

Polymarket

Stefan Brodie

$0 Wol.

55%

Matt Gaetz

$37 Wol.

50%

Donald Brodie

$0 Wol.

47%

Daniel Penny

$11 Wol.

43%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,371 Wol.

34%

Edward Snowden

$1,755 Wol.

20%

Roger Ver

$418 Wol.

18%

Julian Assange

$1,550 Wol.

17%

Steve Bannon

$6,758 Wol.

19%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$13,552 Wol.

12%

Ryan Salame

$15,196 Wol.

12%

Elizabeth Holmes

$1,130 Wol.

12%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$36,293 Wol.

11%

Nicolas Maduro

$6,685 Wol.

10%

Do Kwon

$16,325 Wol.

9%

Himself

$3,978 Wol.

8%

Eric Adams

$106 Wol.

8%

Diddy

$7,527 Wol.

8%

Joe Exotic

$330 Wol.

7%

Young Thug

$4,269 Wol.

7%

Derek Chauvin

$18,431 Wol.

16%

Martin Shkreli

$22,458 Wol.

7%

Antoine Massey

$0 Wol.

7%

Elon Musk

$49,513 Wol.

4%

Hunter Biden

$2,046 Wol.

3%

Roger Stone

$0 Wol.

44%

Bob Menendez

$108 Wol.

43%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Since his January 2025 inauguration, President Trump has granted over 1,800 pardons and commutations, including a mass release for January 6 Capitol event defendants on day one, political allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, celebrities such as Todd and Julie Chrisley, and numerous white-collar fraud convicts, establishing a pattern favoring donors, supporters, and nonviolent offenders via a dedicated White House Pardon Czar. Trader consensus prices high probabilities for billionaire brothers Donald and Stefan Brodie—recent major donors to Trump initiatives amid their prior rejected clemency bids—and Rep. Matt Gaetz, reflecting expectations of preemptive or loyalty-based federal pardons before 2027. Recent May 2026 reports highlight scrutiny over restitution losses from fraud pardons, while discussions of 250 additional clemency grants around June 14 or July 4 could accelerate resolutions for pending high-profile cases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$217,845
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Since his January 2025 inauguration, President Trump has granted over 1,800 pardons and commutations, including a mass release for January 6 Capitol event defendants on day one, political allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, celebrities such as Todd and Julie Chrisley, and numerous white-collar fraud convicts, establishing a pattern favoring donors, supporters, and nonviolent offenders via a dedicated White House Pardon Czar. Trader consensus prices high probabilities for billionaire brothers Donald and Stefan Brodie—recent major donors to Trump initiatives amid their prior rejected clemency bids—and Rep. Matt Gaetz, reflecting expectations of preemptive or loyalty-based federal pardons before 2027. Recent May 2026 reports highlight scrutiny over restitution losses from fraud pardons, while discussions of 250 additional clemency grants around June 14 or July 4 could accelerate resolutions for pending high-profile cases.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$217,845
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 27 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Stefan Brodie" z 56%, za nim "Matt Gaetz" z 50%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 56¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 56% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" wygenerował $217.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 18, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?", przeglądaj 27 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" jest "Stefan Brodie" z 56%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 56% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Matt Gaetz" z 50%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.