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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

icon for Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

$419,583 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$419,583 Wol.

Polymarket

Ryan Salame

$29,521 Wol.

42%

Daniel Penny

$447 Wol.

21%

Matt Gaetz

$3,870 Wol.

21%

Steve Bannon

$7,813 Wol.

17%

Keonne Rodriguez

$17,190 Wol.

17%

Stefan Brodie

$2,320 Wol.

15%

Roger Stone

$3,487 Wol.

14%

Donald Brodie

$1,195 Wol.

14%

Roger Ver

$1,234 Wol.

10%

Bob Menendez

$195 Wol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$5,364 Wol.

9%

Eric Adams

$1,058 Wol.

9%

Martin Shkreli

$29,664 Wol.

7%

Nicolas Maduro

$9,491 Wol.

6%

Julian Assange

$3,037 Wol.

6%

Diddy

$25,473 Wol.

6%

Young Thug

$4,366 Wol.

6%

Himself

$12,557 Wol.

5%

Derek Chauvin

$19,451 Wol.

5%

Edward Snowden

$3,103 Wol.

5%

Andrew Tate

$236 Wol.

5%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$128,533 Wol.

4%

Elizabeth Holmes

$3,547 Wol.

4%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$22,162 Wol.

4%

Do Kwon

$23,580 Wol.

4%

Hunter Biden

$5,483 Wol.

3%

Antoine Massey

$2,289 Wol.

2%

Elon Musk

$52,917 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term has featured extensive use of the pardon power under Article II authority, including a blanket grant covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day 2025 and more than 200 additional individual pardons or commutations by mid-2026 for figures such as George Santos, white-collar defendants, and select allies. The Department of Justice has documented over 1,700 total clemency actions through June 2026, with recent batches tied to Clean Air Act cases and a July 2026 announcement. Reports indicate ongoing internal discussions about further grants linked to the U.S. semiquincentennial and potential end-of-year actions before the 2027 cutoff, creating a fluid environment where trader consensus reflects patterns of prioritizing politically connected or high-profile cases amid standard procedural reviews. Scheduled legislative or holiday periods through December 2026 could prompt additional announcements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$419,583
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s second term has featured extensive use of the pardon power under Article II authority, including a blanket grant covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on inauguration day 2025 and more than 200 additional individual pardons or commutations by mid-2026 for figures such as George Santos, white-collar defendants, and select allies. The Department of Justice has documented over 1,700 total clemency actions through June 2026, with recent batches tied to Clean Air Act cases and a July 2026 announcement. Reports indicate ongoing internal discussions about further grants linked to the U.S. semiquincentennial and potential end-of-year actions before the 2027 cutoff, creating a fluid environment where trader consensus reflects patterns of prioritizing politically connected or high-profile cases amid standard procedural reviews. Scheduled legislative or holiday periods through December 2026 could prompt additional announcements.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$419,583
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 28 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Ryan Salame" z 42%, za nim "Daniel Penny" z 21%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 42¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 42% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" wygenerował $419.6K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 18, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?", przeglądaj 28 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" jest "Ryan Salame" z 42%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 42% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Daniel Penny" z 21%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will Trump pardon before 2027?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.