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Gemini predictions & odds

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Gemini 3.2 released on...?

Gemini 3.2 released on...?

86%

May 19

$211K Vol.

$70.9K today

$133K Liq.

4

Ends in 17 days

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

Gemini 3.5 released by...?

22%

July 31

$1M Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

57

Ends in about 2 months

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

Gemini 3.2 released by...?

99%

May 31

$318K Vol.

$94.2K Liq.

19

Ends in about 2 months

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

1%

1500+

$173K Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

99

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?

9%

$52.9K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

10

Ends in about 2 months

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

96%

June 30

$64.3K Vol.

$45.2K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

92%

40%+

$136K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

57%

50%+

$312K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

94%

ChatGPT

$4.4K Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 15?

95%

Claude by Anthropic

$2.3K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 16? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$24.2K Vol.

$42.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

81%

50

$18.1K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in May 2026?

What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in May 2026?

54%

↑ $220

$87.6K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

34%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$869 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in May 2026?

72%

↑ $4,800

$355K Vol.

$130K Liq.

3

Ends in 18 days

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$180 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in May 2026?

83%

↑ $90

$337K Vol.

$97.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026?

What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit in May 2026?

78%

↑ $410

$116K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

12%

$60.1K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

12

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gemini.

Polymarket currently hosts 114 active markets for Gemini that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Gemini 3.2 released on...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gemini predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.