crop?

Joined Apr 2023·0 views

$1,028.59

Positions Value

$457.89

Biggest Win

295

Predictions

Profit/Loss

$74.69

Past Day

Current

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25.9¢

548.8 shares

25.9¢

32¢

$175.63$33.43 (23.51%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 25.9¢

548.8 shares

$175.63$33.43 (23.51%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

No 21¢

429.1 shares

21¢

26¢

$111.55$21.55 (23.95%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

No 21¢

429.1 shares

$111.55$21.55 (23.95%)

Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

No 81.5¢

225.0 shares

81.5¢

44¢

$99.00-$84.40 (-46.02%)

Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 5%?

No 81.5¢

225.0 shares

$99.00-$84.40 (-46.02%)

Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

No 67¢

114.9 shares

67¢

70.5¢

$81.02$4.02 (5.22%)

Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

No 67¢

114.9 shares

$81.02$4.02 (5.22%)

Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Yes 24.2¢

436.1 shares

24.2¢

16¢

$69.77-$35.60 (-33.79%)

Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Yes 24.2¢

436.1 shares

$69.77-$35.60 (-33.79%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 10¢

500.0 shares

10¢

12¢

$60.00$10.00 (20%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 10¢

500.0 shares

$60.00$10.00 (20%)

Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?

Yes 31.4¢

224.4 shares

31.4¢

23¢

$51.61-$18.94 (-26.84%)

Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?

Yes 31.4¢

224.4 shares

$51.61-$18.94 (-26.84%)

Will Kai or Speed die to a piglin?

Yes 38.7¢

161.5 shares

38.7¢

27.5¢

$44.42-$18.02 (-28.87%)

Will Kai or Speed die to a piglin?

Yes 38.7¢

161.5 shares

$44.42-$18.02 (-28.87%)

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

No 34.9¢

136.5 shares

34.9¢

32¢

$43.68-$3.97 (-8.33%)

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?

No 34.9¢

136.5 shares

$43.68-$3.97 (-8.33%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 52.2¢

191.5 shares

52.2¢

18.1¢

$34.57-$65.43 (-65.43%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 52.2¢

191.5 shares

$34.57-$65.43 (-65.43%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 40.3¢

133.2 shares

40.3¢

24¢

$31.90-$21.71 (-40.5%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?

No 40.3¢

133.2 shares

$31.90-$21.71 (-40.5%)

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

No 77.4¢

39.3 shares

77.4¢

78.5¢

$30.85$0.41 (1.36%)

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

No 77.4¢

39.3 shares

$30.85$0.41 (1.36%)

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12.4¢

174.9 shares

12.4¢

16¢

$27.98$6.24 (28.71%)

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12.4¢

174.9 shares

$27.98$6.24 (28.71%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 13¢

300.0 shares

13¢

7.5¢

$22.50-$16.50 (-42.31%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 13¢

300.0 shares

$22.50-$16.50 (-42.31%)

Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22¢

71.0 shares

22¢

30.5¢

$21.65$6.03 (38.64%)

Will Microsoft release a new MAI thinking model by September 30, 2026?

Yes 22¢

71.0 shares

$21.65$6.03 (38.64%)

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Yes 33.1¢

105.5 shares

33.1¢

20.5¢

$21.63-$13.32 (-38.11%)

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Yes 33.1¢

105.5 shares

$21.63-$13.32 (-38.11%)

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

Yes 54.6¢

45.0 shares

54.6¢

40¢

$18.00-$6.56 (-26.7%)

No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

Yes 54.6¢

45.0 shares

$18.00-$6.56 (-26.7%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Yes 17¢

30.0 shares

17¢

49.5¢

$14.85$9.75 (191.18%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?

Yes 17¢

30.0 shares

$14.85$9.75 (191.18%)

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

456.1 shares

11¢

3.3¢

$14.82-$35.18 (-70.36%)

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?

Yes 11¢

456.1 shares

$14.82-$35.18 (-70.36%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 6¢

200.0 shares

6¢

7.2¢

$14.40$2.40 (20%)

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?

No 6¢

200.0 shares

$14.40$2.40 (20%)