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icon for Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?
Tecnologia·Claude 5

Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?

icon for Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?
Tecnologia·Claude 5

Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?

Sim

98% chance
Polymarket

$25,981 Vol.

Sim

98% chance
Polymarket

$25,981 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Anthropic achieving a $500 billion-plus valuation by year-end 2026, driven by reports of the company negotiating a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion pre-money valuation, as per Bloomberg and New York Times disclosures from May 12. This follows a February Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and explosive annual recurring revenue growth to a $44 billion run rate in May, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude large language models amid surging AI demand. Secondary markets have already priced shares near $1 trillion. While regulatory scrutiny on AI mega-funding or a broader market downturn could delay deals, technical scaling hurdles in compute infrastructure remain low-probability risks given momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,981
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty for Anthropic achieving a $500 billion-plus valuation by year-end 2026, driven by reports of the company negotiating a $30 billion funding round at over $900 billion pre-money valuation, as per Bloomberg and New York Times disclosures from May 12. This follows a February Series G raise at $380 billion post-money and explosive annual recurring revenue growth to a $44 billion run rate in May, fueled by enterprise adoption of Claude large language models amid surging AI demand. Secondary markets have already priced shares near $1 trillion. While regulatory scrutiny on AI mega-funding or a broader market downturn could delay deals, technical scaling hurdles in compute infrastructure remain low-probability risks given momentum.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,981
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic achieves a public valuation of $500 billion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $500 billion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be Anthropic's official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Avaliação da Anthropic acima de $500 bilhões em 2026?" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?" has generated $26K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?" is "Avaliação da Anthropic acima de $500 bilhões em 2026?" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Avaliação antrópica de $ 500B+ em 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.