A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and Freedom of the Press Foundation challenges Truth Social’s Truth API service, launched August 1, as violating the First Amendment by selling priority access to President Trump’s official announcements for up to $100,000 monthly. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings scheduled, temporary restraining orders, or preliminary injunction motions under review. Federal district courts typically require weeks to months for briefing, argument, and rulings on such relief, leaving limited time before the October 31 deadline. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, and the early procedural posture has led traders to assign a 71% implied probability that no court order will block or suspend the paid early-access plan by the resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOs tribunais bloqueiam o plano de acesso antecipado Truth Social de $ 100.000 de Trump até 31 de outubro?
Os tribunais bloqueiam o plano de acesso antecipado Truth Social de $ 100.000 de Trump até 31 de outubro?
Sim
29% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Sim
29% chance
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and Freedom of the Press Foundation challenges Truth Social’s Truth API service, launched August 1, as violating the First Amendment by selling priority access to President Trump’s official announcements for up to $100,000 monthly. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings scheduled, temporary restraining orders, or preliminary injunction motions under review. Federal district courts typically require weeks to months for briefing, argument, and rulings on such relief, leaving limited time before the October 31 deadline. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, and the early procedural posture has led traders to assign a 71% implied probability that no court order will block or suspend the paid early-access plan by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Volume
$1,303Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and Freedom of the Press Foundation challenges Truth Social’s Truth API service, launched August 1, as violating the First Amendment by selling priority access to President Trump’s official announcements for up to $100,000 monthly. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings scheduled, temporary restraining orders, or preliminary injunction motions under review. Federal district courts typically require weeks to months for briefing, argument, and rulings on such relief, leaving limited time before the October 31 deadline. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, and the early procedural posture has led traders to assign a 71% implied probability that no court order will block or suspend the paid early-access plan by the resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a court issues any order — including a temporary restraining order, preliminary or permanent injunction, or other relief — that has the effect of prohibiting or suspending the sale of paid early access to Donald Trump's Truth Social posts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying order includes one that requires official government information to be released to the public simultaneously with, or before, its provision to paying subscribers, if such an order has the effect of eliminating the paid early-access advantage.
A qualifying order issued within the market timeframe will resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether it is later vacated, reversed, stayed, or superseded, and regardless of its stated duration.
The primary resolution sources will be official court records and filings; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,303Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 6:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal lawsuit filed August 12 in the Southern District of New York by The Intercept and Freedom of the Press Foundation challenges Truth Social’s Truth API service, launched August 1, as violating the First Amendment by selling priority access to President Trump’s official announcements for up to $100,000 monthly. The case remains at the initial pleading stage with no hearings scheduled, temporary restraining orders, or preliminary injunction motions under review. Federal district courts typically require weeks to months for briefing, argument, and rulings on such relief, leaving limited time before the October 31 deadline. The service continues operating with reported subscribers, and the early procedural posture has led traders to assign a 71% implied probability that no court order will block or suspend the paid early-access plan by the resolution date.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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