Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria
Política·áfrica

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria
Política·áfrica

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria

Polymarket
NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Otu Bassey Edet

Otu Bassey Edet

$400 Vol.

80%

icon for Arthur Jarvis

Arthur Jarvis

$290 Vol.

20%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Bassey Edet Otu secured the APC nomination for the 2027 Cross River gubernatorial election after winning his party's primary by a wide margin and receiving automatic endorsement from state party leaders. Recent grassroots mobilization efforts, including ward-level campaigns by groups like Neighbour2Neighbour and endorsements highlighting infrastructure gains, oil asset recovery, and federal engagement, have reinforced trader consensus around his re-election prospects. On the opposition side, the PDP selected businessman Sir Arthur Jarvis Archibong via direct primary in May 2026, pairing him with former APC chairman Alphonsus Eba as running mate and committing to a single term aligned with senatorial zoning. These confirmed candidacies and APC organizational advantages explain the current market positioning ahead of the March 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$690
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Bassey Edet Otu secured the APC nomination for the 2027 Cross River gubernatorial election after winning his party's primary by a wide margin and receiving automatic endorsement from state party leaders. Recent grassroots mobilization efforts, including ward-level campaigns by groups like Neighbour2Neighbour and endorsements highlighting infrastructure gains, oil asset recovery, and federal engagement, have reinforced trader consensus around his re-election prospects. On the opposition side, the PDP selected businessman Sir Arthur Jarvis Archibong via direct primary in May 2026, pairing him with former APC chairman Alphonsus Eba as running mate and committing to a single term aligned with senatorial zoning. These confirmed candidacies and APC organizational advantages explain the current market positioning ahead of the March 2027 vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$690
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 8:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cross River State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Cross River State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Relacionado

icon for Chinda Kingsley Ogundu vencerá a eleição para governador do Estado do Rivers em 2027?

Chinda Kingsley Ogundu vencerá a eleição para governador do Estado do Rivers em 2027?

67%
Sim
icon for Alia Hyacinth Iormem vencerá a eleição para governador do Estado de Benue em 2027?

Alia Hyacinth Iormem vencerá a eleição para governador do Estado de Benue em 2027?

66%
Sim
icon for Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?

Will Mohammed Umaru Bago win the 2027 Niger State gubernatorial election?

81%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Otu Bassey Edet" at 80%, followed by "Arthur Jarvis" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria" is "Otu Bassey Edet" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arthur Jarvis" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Cross River, Nigéria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.