Elon Musk’s established baseline of roughly 15–21 posts per day on X during periods without major product launches, regulatory developments, or viral controversies has anchored trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet bracket for the August 3–5 window. Activity through the opening days of the period has aligned with historical norms, showing no surge in replies, threads, or high-engagement exchanges that would push totals into the next bin. With resolution imminent and no late-breaking catalysts evident, market-implied odds reflect the aggregated assessment of routine engagement patterns, though a single high-profile thread or unexpected news cycle could still alter the final count.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoElon Musk # tweets 3 de agosto - 5 de agosto de 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets 3 de agosto - 5 de agosto de 2026?
40-64 85%
65-89 11%
90-114 1.2%
<40 <1%
$471,826 Vol.
$471,826 Vol.
5 ago 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
85%
65-89
11%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 85%
65-89 11%
90-114 1.2%
<40 <1%
$471,826 Vol.
$471,826 Vol.
5 ago 2026
<40
$127,556 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$59,617 Vol.
85%
65-89
$91,857 Vol.
11%
90-114
$76,225 Vol.
1%
115-139
$60,165 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$25,628 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$14,290 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6,746 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,970 Vol.
<1%
240+
$3,773 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established baseline of roughly 15–21 posts per day on X during periods without major product launches, regulatory developments, or viral controversies has anchored trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet bracket for the August 3–5 window. Activity through the opening days of the period has aligned with historical norms, showing no surge in replies, threads, or high-engagement exchanges that would push totals into the next bin. With resolution imminent and no late-breaking catalysts evident, market-implied odds reflect the aggregated assessment of routine engagement patterns, though a single high-profile thread or unexpected news cycle could still alter the final count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$471,826Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established baseline of roughly 15–21 posts per day on X during periods without major product launches, regulatory developments, or viral controversies has anchored trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet bracket for the August 3–5 window. Activity through the opening days of the period has aligned with historical norms, showing no surge in replies, threads, or high-engagement exchanges that would push totals into the next bin. With resolution imminent and no late-breaking catalysts evident, market-implied odds reflect the aggregated assessment of routine engagement patterns, though a single high-profile thread or unexpected news cycle could still alter the final count.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$471,826Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established baseline of roughly 15–21 posts per day on X during periods without major product launches, regulatory developments, or viral controversies has anchored trader consensus on the 40-64 tweet bracket for the August 3–5 window. Activity through the opening days of the period has aligned with historical norms, showing no surge in replies, threads, or high-engagement exchanges that would push totals into the next bin. With resolution imminent and no late-breaking catalysts evident, market-implied odds reflect the aggregated assessment of routine engagement patterns, though a single high-profile thread or unexpected news cycle could still alter the final count.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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