**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over August 6–8, 2026 (Thursday–Saturday) centers on the 40–64 bucket at 42% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 65–89 at 34%.** The three-day window mixes two weekdays with one weekend day, when Musk’s posting typically drops roughly 30% from weekday norms. Recent comparable periods, including the August 1–3 and July 30–August 1 markets, have shown subdued activity that favors the lower-to-mid ranges. Market pricing reflects this baseline—around 24–34 posts per day depending on the day type—adjusted for the absence of major announced catalysts such as product launches, political developments, or high-profile controversies that could spike engagement. The close spread between the top two outcomes highlights uncertainty around day-to-day variance and any late-week news flow, while the long tail of higher buckets remains discounted given the weekend drag and recent quiet stretches. Traders are effectively betting on continuity with the most recent observed patterns rather than a sudden acceleration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 42%
65-89 34%
Menos de 40 15%
90-114 10%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
Menos de 40
15%
40-64
42%
65-89
34%
90-114
10%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 34%
Menos de 40 15%
90-114 10%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
Menos de 40
$508 Vol.
15%
40-64
$217 Vol.
42%
65-89
$200 Vol.
34%
90-114
$59 Vol.
10%
115-139
$40 Vol.
2%
140-164
$60 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$0 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$0 Vol.
<1%
240+
$313 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over August 6–8, 2026 (Thursday–Saturday) centers on the 40–64 bucket at 42% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 65–89 at 34%.**
The three-day window mixes two weekdays with one weekend day, when Musk’s posting typically drops roughly 30% from weekday norms. Recent comparable periods, including the August 1–3 and July 30–August 1 markets, have shown subdued activity that favors the lower-to-mid ranges.
Market pricing reflects this baseline—around 24–34 posts per day depending on the day type—adjusted for the absence of major announced catalysts such as product launches, political developments, or high-profile controversies that could spike engagement.
The close spread between the top two outcomes highlights uncertainty around day-to-day variance and any late-week news flow, while the long tail of higher buckets remains discounted given the weekend drag and recent quiet stretches. Traders are effectively betting on continuity with the most recent observed patterns rather than a sudden acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,403Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over August 6–8, 2026 (Thursday–Saturday) centers on the 40–64 bucket at 42% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 65–89 at 34%.**
The three-day window mixes two weekdays with one weekend day, when Musk’s posting typically drops roughly 30% from weekday norms. Recent comparable periods, including the August 1–3 and July 30–August 1 markets, have shown subdued activity that favors the lower-to-mid ranges.
Market pricing reflects this baseline—around 24–34 posts per day depending on the day type—adjusted for the absence of major announced catalysts such as product launches, political developments, or high-profile controversies that could spike engagement.
The close spread between the top two outcomes highlights uncertainty around day-to-day variance and any late-week news flow, while the long tail of higher buckets remains discounted given the weekend drag and recent quiet stretches. Traders are effectively betting on continuity with the most recent observed patterns rather than a sudden acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,403Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over August 6–8, 2026 (Thursday–Saturday) centers on the 40–64 bucket at 42% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 65–89 at 34%.** The three-day window mixes two weekdays with one weekend day, when Musk’s posting typically drops roughly 30% from weekday norms. Recent comparable periods, including the August 1–3 and July 30–August 1 markets, have shown subdued activity that favors the lower-to-mid ranges. Market pricing reflects this baseline—around 24–34 posts per day depending on the day type—adjusted for the absence of major announced catalysts such as product launches, political developments, or high-profile controversies that could spike engagement. The close spread between the top two outcomes highlights uncertainty around day-to-day variance and any late-week news flow, while the long tail of higher buckets remains discounted given the weekend drag and recent quiet stretches. Traders are effectively betting on continuity with the most recent observed patterns rather than a sudden acceleration.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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