Official assessments from the CDC, WHO, and ECDC confirm the May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster remained limited to roughly 10–13 laboratory-confirmed or probable cases linked to one cruise ship, with three deaths and no sustained community transmission after contact tracing. Andes virus is the only hantavirus capable of limited human-to-human spread, but this requires prolonged close contact; typical rodent-borne transmission produces only sporadic, localized hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases rather than pandemic-scale outbreaks. With the event contained by June and no subsequent clusters reported through mid-August, trader consensus reflects the absence of the high transmissibility or geographic expansion needed for WHO pandemic designation. Remaining uncertainty hinges on undetected secondary chains or rare viral adaptation before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPandemia de hantavírus em 2026?
Pandemia de hantavírus em 2026?
Sim
4% chance
$17,854,543 Vol.
$17,854,543 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
4% chance
$17,854,543 Vol.
$17,854,543 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Official assessments from the CDC, WHO, and ECDC confirm the May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster remained limited to roughly 10–13 laboratory-confirmed or probable cases linked to one cruise ship, with three deaths and no sustained community transmission after contact tracing. Andes virus is the only hantavirus capable of limited human-to-human spread, but this requires prolonged close contact; typical rodent-borne transmission produces only sporadic, localized hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases rather than pandemic-scale outbreaks. With the event contained by June and no subsequent clusters reported through mid-August, trader consensus reflects the absence of the high transmissibility or geographic expansion needed for WHO pandemic designation. Remaining uncertainty hinges on undetected secondary chains or rare viral adaptation before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$17,854,543Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Official assessments from the CDC, WHO, and ECDC confirm the May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster remained limited to roughly 10–13 laboratory-confirmed or probable cases linked to one cruise ship, with three deaths and no sustained community transmission after contact tracing. Andes virus is the only hantavirus capable of limited human-to-human spread, but this requires prolonged close contact; typical rodent-borne transmission produces only sporadic, localized hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases rather than pandemic-scale outbreaks. With the event contained by June and no subsequent clusters reported through mid-August, trader consensus reflects the absence of the high transmissibility or geographic expansion needed for WHO pandemic designation. Remaining uncertainty hinges on undetected secondary chains or rare viral adaptation before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,854,543Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Official assessments from the CDC, WHO, and ECDC confirm the May 2026 Andes hantavirus cluster remained limited to roughly 10–13 laboratory-confirmed or probable cases linked to one cruise ship, with three deaths and no sustained community transmission after contact tracing. Andes virus is the only hantavirus capable of limited human-to-human spread, but this requires prolonged close contact; typical rodent-borne transmission produces only sporadic, localized hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases rather than pandemic-scale outbreaks. With the event contained by June and no subsequent clusters reported through mid-August, trader consensus reflects the absence of the high transmissibility or geographic expansion needed for WHO pandemic designation. Remaining uncertainty hinges on undetected secondary chains or rare viral adaptation before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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